Two of the best papers that go directly to the heart of the issues on the polar bear listing as endangered by the US government are:
Demographic and Ecological Perspectives on the Status of Polar Bears, by Dr Mitchell Taylor and Dr Martha Dowsley, March 2008,
http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/originals/demographic_and_ecological_polar_bear_perspectives.html
Taylor and Dowsley are world class.
Polar Bear Population Forecasts: A Public-Policy Forecasting Audit (Working Paper Version 75), by
J. Scott Armstrong, Kesten C. Green, and Willie Soon, April 2008,
http://www.forecastingprinciples.com/Public_Policy/polarbear.html
Armstrong literally wrote the book on forecasting principles.
Robert Ferguson
President, Science and Public Policy Institute






Jennifer Marohasy BSc PhD has worked in industry and government. She is currently researching a novel technique for long-range weather forecasting funded by the B. Macfie Family Foundation.