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Jennifer Marohasy

Jennifer Marohasy

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Climate & Climate Change

Models Blur Science and Advocacy: A Note from Ian Read

July 31, 2009 By jennifer

MANY mainstream media science, economic and environmental journalists are not sufficiently trained to be aware of the limitations of models when they present climate-modelled output computated projections not only as data but also advocate this output as supposed proof of the threat posed by anthropogenic global warming, particularly with regard to runaway or catastrophic climate change. This disjunct between the scientific and media presentation when contained within the paradigm of advocacy represents a threat to the integrity and falsifiability of science. 

Science seeks the truth in knowledge; (some) media advocacy seeks to propagandise this knowledge. The impact is reinforced if a climate scientist/modeller is directly quoted as an expert, further blurring the line between science and advocacy. This has societal repercussions as the science of anthropogenic global warming (AGW) and the perceived impact of runaway or catastrophic climate change is so model-dependent that the citizenry is not always able to differentiate between the science and advocacy – the implications of which, as regards policy development in term of climate change mitigation, are likely to have a profound effect on society. [Read more…] about Models Blur Science and Advocacy: A Note from Ian Read

Filed Under: Opinion Tagged With: Climate & Climate Change

David Karoly: Sydney was Hot in 1791

July 27, 2009 By jennifer

Watkin Tench of the Royal Marines detailed a heatwave powered by north-westerly winds that howled for three days… “an immense flight of bats, driven before the wind … dropped dead or in a dying state, unable longer to endure the burning state of the atmosphere”…  temperature was 101 degrees Fahrenheit, or 38.3 Celsius.  Read more here.

Filed Under: News Tagged With: Climate & Climate Change

Garth Paltridge on The Climate Caper

July 27, 2009 By jennifer

Filed Under: Books Tagged With: Climate & Climate Change

Resisting Climate Hysteria

July 27, 2009 By jennifer

The fact that the developed world went into hysterics over changes in global mean temperature anomaly of a few tenths of a degree will astound future generations. Such hysteria simply represents the scientific illiteracy of much of the public …  Read more here… from Richard Lindzen at Quadrant Online.

Filed Under: Opinion Tagged With: Climate & Climate Change

Global Temperature Increase Linked to 1976 Climate Shift in Pacific Ocean

July 24, 2009 By jennifer

THREE Australasian researchers have shown that natural forces are the dominant influence on climate, in a study just published in the highly-regarded Journal of Geophysical Research. According to this study little or none of the late 20th century global warming and cooling can be attributed to human activity.

The research, by Chris de Freitas, a climate scientist at the University of Auckland in New Zealand, John McLean (Melbourne) and Bob Carter (James Cook University), finds that the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a key indicator of global atmospheric temperatures seven months later. As an additional influence, intermittent volcanic activity injects cooling aerosols into the atmosphere and produces significant cooling.

“The surge in global temperatures since 1977 can be attributed to a 1976 climate shift in the Pacific Ocean that made warming El Niño conditions more likely than they were over the previous 30 years and cooling La Niña conditions less likely” says corresponding author de Freitas.

[Read more…] about Global Temperature Increase Linked to 1976 Climate Shift in Pacific Ocean

Filed Under: News, Opinion Tagged With: Climate & Climate Change

New York Times Changes Storyline on Climate Change

July 22, 2009 By jennifer

Darwin Part 1 Oct 05 049 blogTHE New York Times, like most of the mainstream media, is not known for its balanced reporting on climate change.  I tend to associate the newspaper with sensational headlines suggesting a full blown climate crisis.

But then just yesterday the influential broadsheet published a surprisingly informative article that went as far as to suggest we could be in for an extended chilly period here on planet earth because of a surprisingly weak solar cycle.   Author Kenneth Chang also made mention of research at the Danish National Space Centre in Copenhagen and the possible influence of cosmic rays on climate.    Mr Change explained that when the sunspot and solar winds die down, more cosmic rays reach the earth, more clouds form , less sunlight reaches the ground, and so temperatures cool.

This article does not fit the established storyline on global warming.  [Read more…] about New York Times Changes Storyline on Climate Change

Filed Under: News, Opinion Tagged With: Climate & Climate Change

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Jennifer Marohasy Jennifer Marohasy BSc PhD has worked in industry and government. She is currently researching a novel technique for long-range weather forecasting funded by the B. Macfie Family Foundation. Read more

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To get in touch with Jennifer call 0418873222 or international call +61418873222.

Email: jennifermarohasy at gmail.com

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