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Jennifer Marohasy

Jennifer Marohasy

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Climate & Climate Change

No Wiser After Decades of Climate Modelling

May 6, 2011 By jennifer

“AN outcome from the anthropogenic global warming alarmism has been the implementation of government policies that can only reduce community resilience to the natural hazards of climate. The enormous research expenditure directed toward computer modelling and potential impacts has been at the expense of better understanding of the climate system and improved early warning of known hazardous events. None of the expenditure on climate change research over the past three decades has improved our ability to better understand and predict the onset and duration of drought, of tropical cyclones, conditions conducive to fire, or the extent of flooding. Yet each of these has been experienced across parts of Australia over the past 12 months, with significant loss of life, enormous private and public infrastructure destruction, and diminution of productivity.

“Proposed Government actions to make energy more expensive, or raise barriers that deny community access to existing energy forms, will further reduce community resilience to the hazards of climate. Today’s broad-acre farming is an outcome of mechanised production and transport based on fossil fuels; rural infrastructure is implemented and maintained with equipment driven by fossil fuels. From an economist’s perspective, rural industries are a diminishing percentage of GDP and of declining importance to national welfare. This jaundiced view fails to understand Maslow’s hierarchy of needs: we self-actualise (ie, expand the national GDP) only after satisfying our basic wants of food and shelter. A community that neglects what underpins the resilience of basic food production and infrastructure becomes more vulnerable to climate variability and extremes…    an extract from ‘Community resilience and the hazards of climate’, by William Kininmonth

Read more here:
http://www.onlineopinion.com.au/view.asp?article=11986&page=0

Filed Under: News, Opinion Tagged With: Climate & Climate Change

Australian Government Only Gets Flawed Advice on Climate

April 25, 2011 By Charlotte Ramotswe

ON November 10 last year the Australian government’s Multi-party Climate Change Committee (MCCC) received a scientific briefing before it entered the policy-setting mode that it remains in today.

The briefing was provided by the only scientist on the Committee, Professor Will Steffen. A copy of the slide presentation that Steffen used has recently come into the public domain.

Quadrant Online has today posted an analysis by four independent scientists and an economist of Professor Steffen’s presentation, http://www.quadrant.org.au/blogs/doomed-planet/2011/04/government-misadvised .

The analysis demonstrates that Steffen provided the MCCC with only alarmist, inaccurate IPCC advice; no attempt was made to familiarize committee members with the reasons that many independent scientists all around the world view the IPCC as a deeply flawed organisation, whose advice on climate change is almost valueless.

This analysis of Steffen’s advice of last November is the latest in a series of papers critical of IPCC science which go back to 2009. The Australian government and its advisory scientists have failed to respond to any of these critiques, apparently hoping that if they ignore criticism it will go away. Given mainstream media attitudes, this ploy has regrettably proved to be very effective.

Australian citizens – who will be paying the costs of the intended new carbon dioxide tax – should demand that the press and government alike listen to independent scientific assessments of the global warming issue, and undertake critical analyses of the unsatisfactory scientific advice that has been provided by Professor Steffen and the IPCC.

************
Other due diligence reports & related commentaries on Australian Government advice on climate change can be found here: http://www.quadrant.org.au/blogs/doomed-planet/2011/04/due-diligence-reports

Filed Under: News, Opinion Tagged With: Climate & Climate Change

No Carbon Tax Rally – Brisbane May 7

April 23, 2011 By jennifer

How will history record our current obsession with carbon dioxide and the idea of taxing it? What have you done about it?

I will be at the Brisbane rally against the carbon tax on May 7, See you there…
Queensland Parliament House Cnr of Alice Street and George Street
Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
Saturday, May 7 from 11:30am to 2:30pm

And if you were speaking at the rally…
What would you say?

Filed Under: Good Causes, News Tagged With: Climate & Climate Change

Climate Refugees?

April 20, 2011 By jennifer

UN Embarrassed By Forecast On Climate Refugees Six years ago, the United Nations issued a dramatic warning that the world would have to cope with 50 million climate refugees by 2010. But now that those migration flows have failed to materialize, the UN has distanced itself from the forecasts. On the contrary, populations are growing in the regions that had been identified as environmental danger zones. –Axel Bojanowski, Spiegel Online, 18 April 2011 http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/0,1518,757713,00.html

Meanwhile a new forecast is doing the rounds. At the annual meeting of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) in February, Cristina Tirado, an environment researcher at the University of California in Los Angeles, warned of 50 million environmental refugees in the future. That figure was a UN projection she said — for 2020. –Axel Bojanowski, Spiegel Online, 18 April 2011 http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/0,1518,757713,00.html

The United Nations Environment Programme has tried to erase one of its glaring failed predictions about climate refugees by removing a map from its website purporting to show where 50 million climate refugees will come from by 2010. –Gavin Atkins, Asian Correspondent, 16 April 2011 http://asiancorrespondent.com/52560/cover-up-un-tries-to-erase-failed-climate-refugee-prediction/

Via CCNet – 19 April 2011 and The Climate Policy Network (more information here http://www.thegwpf.org )

Developers of popular online poki games are constantly improving their products in order to achieve greater popularity and implement their developments in all areas, including the one that is mentioned here.

Filed Under: News, Opinion Tagged With: Climate & Climate Change

Radiative Transfer According to AGW: A Note from Neutrino

April 11, 2011 By jennifer

RADIATIVE transfer is an incredibly important topic when it comes to the earth’s climate system. It is the only way for the earth to either heat up, via absorption, or cool down, via emission.  The temperature of the earth is set by these two counter acting mechanisms. To solve this balance for the earth’s dynamic systems is incredibly difficult. But to understand the basic principles involved is fairly straight forward and central to understanding the theory of anthropogenic global warming (AGW).

[Read more…] about Radiative Transfer According to AGW: A Note from Neutrino

Filed Under: News, Opinion Tagged With: Climate & Climate Change, Physics

Determining the Total Emissivity of a Mixture of Gases Containing Overlapping Absorption Bands: A Note from Nasif S. Nahle

April 6, 2011 By Nasif S. Nahle

Abstract

According to anthropogenic global warming (AGW) theory, carbon dioxide increases the potential of water vapor to absorb and emit IR radiation as a consequence of the overlapping absorption/emission spectral bands. I have determined the total emissivity of a mixture of gases containing 5% of water vapor and 0.039% of carbon dioxide in all spectral bands where their absorptivities/emissivities overlap. The result of my calculations is that carbon dioxide reduces the total absorptivity/emissivity of the water vapor, working like a coolant, not a warmer of the atmosphere and the surface.

Update  April 8, 2011.   There was an error in calculating the overlapping bands, discovered thanks to criticism from ‘Neutrino’.   The errors are now shown with lines through them, the correct figures beside them.   The ‘adjusted’ calculations give a greater cooling effect from carbon dioxide . 

[Read more…] about Determining the Total Emissivity of a Mixture of Gases Containing Overlapping Absorption Bands: A Note from Nasif S. Nahle

Filed Under: News, Opinion Tagged With: Climate & Climate Change, Physics

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Jennifer Marohasy Jennifer Marohasy BSc PhD has worked in industry and government. She is currently researching a novel technique for long-range weather forecasting funded by the B. Macfie Family Foundation. Read more

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To get in touch with Jennifer call 0418873222 or international call +61418873222.

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