Climate & Climate Change

Some recent stops on Gore’s travel schedule:

May 4, 2008–Ohio
May 3, 2008–Philadelphia
April 15, 2008–Geneva
April 11, 2008–San Francisco
April 8, 2008–Iceland
April 5, 2008–Montreal
March 18, 2008–New York
March 15, 2008–India
March 12, 2008–Poland
March 11, 2008–Geneva
March 1, 2008–Monterey, California
February 14, 2008–New York City
January 31, 2008–Atlanta
January 24, 2008–Switzerland
January 19, 2008–Park City, Utah
Dec 13, 2007–Bali
Dec 7, 2007–Norway
November 30, 2007–London
November 20, 2007–The Turks and Caicos Islands
November 19, 2007–New York
November 6, 2007–New York
October 26, 2007–Spain
October 25, 2007–France
October 12, 2007–Palo Alto, California
October 5, 2007–Pacific Palisades, California
Sept. 25, 2007–New York
Sept. 19, 2007–Australia
Sept. 16, 2007–Los Angeles
August 26, 2007 San Francisco
August 26, 2007 Los Angeles
August 26, 2007 Nashville
August 9, 2007–Hong Kong
July 9, 2007–New Jersey
July 9, 2007–Washington, DC
July 3, 2007–London
June 20, 2007–South Africa
June 12, 2007–Istanbul
June 3, 2007–Denver
May 29, 2007–Washington, DC
May 24, 2007–New York City
May 23, 2007–San Francisco
May 22, 2007–Beverly Hills
May 11, 2007–Argentina
April 17, 2007–Nashville
April 13, 2007–New York
April 3, 20070–San Jose
March 29, 2007–Oslo
March 22, 2007–Montreal
March 12, 2007–London
March 7, 2007–Brussels
February 25, 2007–Hollywood
February 6, 2007–Madrid
January 28, 2007–New York City
January 20, 2007–Century City, California
January 18, 2007–London
January 15, 2007–Tokyo

Cartoon from garyvarvel.com

Thanks to Tom Nelson’s blog: Where’s Al Gore now?

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Lawrence Soloman, who has been writing the so-called ‘Deniers’ series in Canada’s National Post revealed on the weekend in a piece entitled ‘Wikipedia’s Zealots’ that an individual on staff with Wikipedia has been de-editing his corrections to a Wikipedia article on Naomi Oreskes who rose to fame (infamy) with her 2004 Science article on the consensus of AGW.

“As I’m writing this column for the Financial Post, I am simultaneously editing a page on Wikipedia. I am confident that just about everything I write for my column will be available for you to read. I am equally confident that you will be able to read just about nothing that I write for the page on Wikipedia… Keep reading here:

http://www.nationalpost.com/todays_paper/story.html?id=440268

Information via Brian R. Pratt with thanks.

And Larry Solomon’s columns are available at www.energyprobe.org

The Deniers, his latest book, is available from Amazon

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keywords: Climatology, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Benny Peiser, Kim Dabelstein Petersen
“The thought police at the supposedly independent site are fervently enforcing the climate orthodoxy”. Lawrence Solomon, Financial Post, Published: Saturday, April 12, 2008

China has already overtaken the US as the world’s “biggest polluter”, a report to be published next month says.

The research suggests the country’s greenhouse gas emissions have been underestimated, and probably passed those of the US in 2006-2007.

The University of California team will report their work in the Journal of Environment Economics and Management.

Read the rest of the article:

BBC Website: China ‘now top carbon polluter’

The above article was written by the BBC’s Roger Harrabin. Any activist using climate change as an excuse to promote state control, higher taxes, mobility restrictions, energy poverty, an end to economic growth etc, may wish to email Mr Harrabin and he may change it to reflect your version of the ‘truth.’

Peter Boyer is apparently a disciple of Al Gore – one of the many who has been trained to give that famous slide show about the imminent climate crisis. Anyway, he is also a columnist for The Mercury – Rupert Murdoch’s newspapers in Tasmania. Today, in a piece entitled ‘Misleading opinion fed by misunderstood data’ he writes:

“Jennifer Marohasy told ABC Counterpoint listeners that NASA data showed Earth’s surface temperature was trending down from a high in 1998, revealing serious flaws in greenhouse theory.

If confidence and clear expression were all that counted in the climate debate, Dr Marohasy would be a winner. Listeners unfamiliar with the data she talked about may have felt she was right.

But alas, the evidence says otherwise.

Present and past global average surface temperatures are derived from painstaking assessment of countless readings all over the planet, on land and sea, together with satellite observations, corrected for local aberrations such as the urban heat island effect.”

Accompanied by a graph showing the last 120 years temperature trend Mr Boyer went on to suggest that the world is still warming.

Of course the world has been mostly warming over the last 120 years, but over the last 10 years global temperatures have not been trending up, as predicted by the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, despite a continual increase in carbon dioxide emissions.

The last decade of global temperatures from Satellite (UAH MSU lower troposphere) (blue) and land and ocean variance adjusted surface (Hadley CRU T3v) (rose) plotted with Scripps monthly CO2 from Mauna Loa (green) by Joe D’Aleo – former Chief Meteorologist at Weather Services International Corporation and Senior Editor of “Dr. Dewpoint” for WSI’s popular Intellicast.com website.

The controversy over climate campaigner Jo Abbess’s claimed success of intimidating the BBC’s Roger Harrabin into changing a website article rumbles on.

Christopher Booker of The Sunday Telegraph gives his opinion here:

Warmists beat straying BBC man back into line

A talking point among “climate sceptics” on both sides of the Atlantic has been the bizarre tale of how the BBC’s chief reporter on climate change censored an item on the BBC website after being harried by a “climate activist”.

On April 4 Roger Harrabin posted a story on the fact that world temperatures have not continued to rise in the past 10 years, and this year will fall to a level markedly below the average of the past two decades.

Global temperatures ‘to decrease’ [4 April ’08] – BBC News

Citing the World Meteorological Organisation, Mr Harrabin accurately reported that “global temperatures have not risen since 1998, prompting some to question climate change theory”.

This was a red rag to Jo Abbess of the Campaign Against Climate Change (Hon President, George Monbiot), who emailed Mr Harrabin demanding that he “correct” his item.

Mr Harrabin insisted that what he had written was true. There are indeed eminent climate scientists “who question whether warming will continue as predicted”.

This only angered Ms Abbess further. She said it was “highly irresponsible to play into the hands of the sceptics”, to “even hint that the Earth is cooling down again”.

Mr Harrabin, though he has led the BBC’s tireless promotion of warmist orthodoxy, stood firm. Even in the “general media”, he replied, “sceptics” highlight the lack of increase since 1998: to ignore this might give the impression that “debate is being censored”.

His item had, after all, added “we are still in a long-term warming trend”.

This was too much for Ms Abbess. She responded that this was not “a matter of debate”. He should not be quoting the sceptics “whose voice is heard everywhere, on every channel, deliberately obstructing the emergence of the truth”.

Unless he changed his item, she said, “I would have to conclude that you are insufficiently educated to be able to know when you have been psychologically manipulated”. She threatened to expose him by spreading his replies across the internet.

At this point the BBC’s man caved in. Within minutes a new version appeared, given the same time and date as that which he had consigned to Winston Smith’s memory hole.

Out went any mention of “sceptics” who question global warming. After a guarded reference to this year’s “slightly cooler” temperatures, a new paragraph said that they would “still be above the average” and that we will “soon exceed the record year of 1998 because of the global warming induced by greenhouse gases”.

Of course we have long known where the BBC stands on climate change. But it is good to have such clear evidence that, even when one of its reporters tries to be honest, he can be whipped back into line by a pressure group.

In the end, Ms Abbess still circulated the exchanges on the internet, to show the great victory she had won for the “emerging truth”.

Meanwhile, the BBC makes its editorial excuses here.

I’ve made what is probably a futile complaint to BBC and asked for hard evidence of the claimed comments on the article by the WMO.

There is more entertainment on the relevant thread over at the Campaign against climate change, as the Sandalistas argue with the Lentilists, refereed by the Treehuggers.

Here is the original unmolested article:

Global temperatures ‘to decrease’

By Roger Harrabin

BBC News environment analyst

Global temperatures this year will be lower than in 2007 due to the cooling effect of the La Nina current in the Pacific, UN meteorologists have said.

The World Meteorological Organisation’s secretary-general, Michel Jarraud, told the BBC it was likely that La Nina would continue into the summer.

This would mean global temperatures have not risen since 1998, prompting some to question climate change theory.
But experts have also forecast a record high temperature within five years.

‘Variability’

La Nina and El Nino are two great natural Pacific currents whose effects are so huge they resonate round the world.

El Nino warms the planet when it happens, La Nina cools it. This year, the Pacific is in the grip of a powerful La Nina.

It has contributed to torrential rains in Australia and to some of the coldest temperatures in memory in snow-bound parts of China.

LA NINA KEY FACTS

La Nina translates from the Spanish as “The Child Girl”
Refers to the extensive cooling of the central and eastern Pacific
Increased sea temperatures on the western side of the Pacific means the atmosphere has more energy and frequency of heavy rain and thunderstorms is increased
Typically lasts for up to 12 months and generally less damaging event than the stronger El Nino

Mr Jarraud told the BBC that the effect was likely to continue into the summer, depressing temperatures globally by a fraction of a degree.

This would mean that temperatures have not risen globally since 1998 when El Nino warmed the world.

A minority of scientists question whether this means global warming has peaked and the earth has proved more resilient to greenhouse gases than predicted.

But Mr Jarraud insisted this was not the case and noted that 1998 temperatures would still be well above average for the century.

“When you look at climate change you should not look at any particular year,” he said. “You should look at trends over a pretty long period and the trend of temperature globally is still very much indicative of warming.”
“La Nina is part of what we call ‘variability’. There has always been and there will always be cooler and warmer years, but what is important for climate change is that the trend is up.”

Experts at the UK Met Office’s Hadley Centre for forecasting in Exeter said the world could expect another record temperature within five years or less, probably associated with another episode of El Nino.

There are a couple of emerging theories on clouds, and how they form, and in time these theories may blow away the current so-called consensus on anthropogenic global warming from carbon dioxide as a key driver of climate.

One of these theories concerns cosmic rays.

A couple of weeks ago I mentioned the words “cosmic rays” with some enthusiasm at a Sunday lunch and everyone looked a me with a degree of apprehension and no one asked me to “explain further”. I could see the minds of the 10 or so others at the table ticking over. They were probably thinking, “What on earth is she talking about?”.

Well, I was about to attend a lecture by Dr Eigil Friis-Christensen, the director of the Danish National Space Centre.

This centre has published research suggesting that satellite observations of cloud cover and laboratory observations of aerosol formation indicate climate is signifcantly affected by the cosmic ray flux, modulated by the solar magnetic field.

Slide from presentation by Eigil Friis-Christensen, Mittagong, April 5, 2008

Current United Nation’s IPCC climate models do not incorporate the influence of cosmic rays and therefore according to Dr Friis-Christensen can not hope to predict future climate.

The week before Dr Friis-Christensen gave his lecture at Mittagong, a paper was published suggesting the potential influence of cosmic rays was over-rated. Bloggers Lubos Motl and Nir Shaviv discuss the problems with the Sloan & Wolfendale paper which was given significant exposure by the BBC.

More to come on cosmic rays in part 2 of this post.
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see also my blog post:
Graeme Pearman Claims Antarctica is Warming (Global Warming and The Cosmos, Part 1)
https://jennifermarohasy.com.dev.internet-thinking.com.au/blog/archives/002905.html