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Jennifer Marohasy

Jennifer Marohasy

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Genetically Modified Athletes

December 7, 2005 By Roger Kalla

BY ROGER KALLA
….not on environment

There is less than 100 Days to go before the Commonwealth Games here in Melbourne. I can’t but wonder if we are going to see the first GM Athletes compete in the pool at the Melbourne Sports and Aquatic Centre or in the track and field events at the MCG.

At a recent conference at the Karolinska Institute in Stockholm organized by the World Anti-Doping Agency (WADA) gene doping – the unscrupulous use of genetic modification to enhance athletic ability by athletes, sportspeople and coaches was discussed as well as methods of detection of DNA cheats . The testing methodology is still under development and will not be ready for the upcoming Winter Olympics in Torino nor the Commonwealth Games in Melbourne.

One example of a gene that could potentially be used for gene doping is IGF-1.

US researchers has inserted IGF-1 into the muscles of mice. Humans have this gene as well, and our muscles make IGF-1 to repair themselves. But as we get older, our muscles make less and less of it. The muscles of mice given IGF-1 got on the order of 15 to 20 percent stronger without the animals doing anything. So the introduction of this gene which caused a higher production of IGF-1 caused the muscles to get stronger without any exercise. With exercise the gene altered mice muscles became 30 percent stronger.

According to Brad Kloza in ScienCentral News of the 7 December 2005 the US researchers responsible for the study has gotten hundreds of emails from athletes and coaches who want to test the technique – regardless of safety guarantees. While declining their requests, the willingness to try this untested therapy has convinced the researchers that gene doping will become a reality.

In the same article Richard Pound, president of the WADA is quoted as saying “There will be, if not countries, there will be people in some countries that are going to be prepared to try it. And unfortunately that’s human nature.”

Athletes are looking for something that gives them the edge over the competition. Some are willing to take a risk to gain a benefit.

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: Biotechnology

Climate Icons

December 6, 2005 By jennifer

How did this get past the editors at science journal Nature:

“Any public campaign benefits from having an iconic image – something that captures the essence of the message and engraves it indelibly on our memories. But it is almost impossible to predict which images will actually stick, so creating one on demand is
extraordinarily difficult. For instance, who could have forecast that of all the news photographs emanating from the Vietnam
war, it was Nick Ut’s photograph of a napalmed child screaming naked on a road that would become the canonical image of innocent suffering during that unhappy episode in history?

Even so, finding an iconic image was one of the goals of a meeting, ‘Changing the Climate’, held in Oxford, UK, on 11 and 12 September (http://kron1.eng.ox.ac.uk/climate).

Researchers and practitioners of the visual,literary, musical and performing arts came together to publicize the predicted perils of climate change, and there was much talk about a memorable image that would encapsulate the initiative.

The challenge is considerable. Any icon inevitably involves condensation and simplification, but the
issues surrounding climate change are extraordinarily complex. Can an image be found that is both simple and good science?”

(Nature, Vol 437)

The meeting came up with this:
Climate Colllapse Icons.JPG

I don’t get the relationship between ENSO and global warming?

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: Climate & Climate Change

Not on the Brink of Collapse: GM Soy in the USA

December 6, 2005 By jennifer

Today’s Sydney Morning Herald has a piece by Environment Writer Wendy Frew in which she quotes Dr Chuck Benbrook as follows:

“Across the south-eastern US, where soybean and cotton farmers have relied almost exclusively on (genetic engineering) technology for several years, the system is on the brink of collapse, the volume of herbicide used is setting new records and farmers’ profit margins are shrinking”.

Benbrook is visiting Australia for two weeks at the invitation of the organics industry to talk down GM, click here for more information on the tour.

I heard him on ABC Radio National’s Bush Telegraph Program yesterday, have the transcript from a press conference he gave in Canberra last Tuesday and I attended a talk he gave in Brisbane last Friday.

He generally focuses on soybeans, claiming that herbicide usage in soybeans initially dropped with the adoption of GM soy, but that usage subsequently increased with the advent of herbicide resistance and is now several time what it was before US farmers started growing GM soy.

Benbrook has stated that he uses official data, the data in reports that come out in May each year from the United States Department of Agriculture.

It is tedious extracting the information from these reports. I have spent much of this morning going thought the reports and extract figures on pesticide useage in soybean from here: http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/reports/nassr/field/pcp-bban/ and yield in soybeans from here http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/reports/nassr/other/pcu-bb/#field .

Based on this information I have constructed the following table:

SoyStatsBenbrookVGG.JPG

It would seem that with the advent of GM soy, the total amount of herbicide used on a per acre basis in the US has hardly changed and that the yield on a per acre basis has hardly changed.

The area planted to soybeans has increased with the 2004 USDA report stating that a total of 3.14 billion bushels of soybeans were harvested last year which is the largest soybean harvest in US crop history. This harvest also had the highest yield on record at 42.5 bushels/acre.

It is a bit hard to reconcile these figures with Benbrook’s ascertain that the industry is on the “brink of collapse” – see above quote from Sydney Morning Herald.

GM soy was first planted in 1996 and this year 87 percent of the total area planted to soybeans in the US has been planted to GM soy.

There has been no spectacular increase in yield or spectacular reduction in herbicide usage, but as Benbrook conceded in the interview on radio national yesterday, GM soy was developed to make weed control easier and facilitate use of the more environmentally-friendly herbicide glyphosate.

…………
I would really appreciate it if someone else when through and extracted the figures for cotton in the US – for both yield and herbicide usage.

………….
UPDATE 9.30pm (in Brisbane), 7TH DECEMBER 2005

Christopher Preston has extracted the cotton figures as follows. Thanks Chris!

cottonstatsbenbrook.JPG

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: Biotechnology

The Next 5 Years and Next Week

December 5, 2005 By jennifer

Online journal, Online Opinion, is calling for article for its January feature which is titled Looking forward – the next five years.

I’ve been asked to write 900 words on the subject. It is impossible to take an evidence-based-approach to the future? So whatever I write will have to be pure conjecture?

I am currently pondering what it might be like in 2010… and I am interested in your thoughts on the following subjects:

Will it be hotter and if so, by how much?
What will be the price of oil?
Will more people be driving hybrid cars?
Will there be a nuclear power station under construction in Australia?
Will cotton and carnations still be the only commercially produced genetically modified (GM) crops in Australia?
Will more people be eating kangaroo and crocodile or will we still be focused on beef, pork and chicken.
Will Western Australia have solved its salt problem?
Will Brisbane be drinking sewerage (recycled water)?
Will there be more koalas in Australia in 2010 than in 2005?

It would be great if you could post a comment or two below on what it will be like in 2010 – and that way I can write the piece as a contribution from the readers of this blog rather than having to put my own name to a whole lot of predictions!

Between now and then (January 2006) I am going to be spending some time surfing.

I am unsure whether I will have access to the internet next week and so have asked Roger Kalla to keep readers of this weblog amused. He has agreed. So the prediction for next week is that Roger will post more than me.

I have never met Roger. But I know he has a range of interests from bird flu to biodiesel. He once worked for the Victorian government and grew up in Sweden.

Filed Under: Uncategorized

Wooden Floors Fail Enery-Efficiency Test

December 4, 2005 By jennifer

I live in Brisbane in an old Queenslander. These are wooden houses traditionally with high ceilings and on stilts to allow for air circulation and beat the heat of the tropics. They tend to be difficult to insulate and my home is particularly cold during our brief winter. When there is no breeze the house can also be hot in summer.

There was some discussion about energy efficient homes at this web-log on 25th November; that was the day the Australian Building Codes Board meet to discuss implementing a 5-star building standard for new homes across the whole of Australia, click here.

In a comment following the post Steve explained:

This standard relates to a home’s thermal design – how much energy is required to keep it cool in summer and warm in winter.

Victoria had already implemented a 5-star requirement for new homes, since July 2004.

In addition to the 5-star requirement, the Victorian policy requires the home builder to also install either a solar hot water system OR a raintank.

The Housing industry media release posted by Jen is about the implmenetation of 5-star across the country.

According to the today’s The Sunday Mail – a local Brisbane paper – the resulting new energy-efficiency laws could spell the end of the iconic Queenslander home:

Changes to the building code to be adopted next year mean wooden houses and timber floors could be a thing of the past, Federal Industry Minister Ian Macfarlane told The Sunday Mail yesterday.

The “five-star” energy-efficiency measures to be introduced from May are also tipped to increase the cost of building an average house by up to $15,000.

Mr Macfarlane called the decision a “terrible mistake” and warned it would be the death of elevated homes built with timber floors on stilts.

“The ordinary house on stumps

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: Housing & Building

Walk Against Warming, But Could it be Cooling?

December 3, 2005 By jennifer

The latest much discussed paper in science journal Nature on global warming is predicting it may get cooler as it gets warmer!

At least that’s my reading of the paper by Harry Bryden et. al. (Vol 438, Dec 1, 2005, pg 655-657) which explains that because of substantially warmer waters at depth near the Bahamas and extending eastward for several hundred kilometres there is likely to be less warm water circulating north to Europe and so winters will be colder. Based on these findings the BBC is suggesting European government should perhaps prepare for colder weather, click here.

I am wondering whether there shouldn’t already be signs of cooling given that according to Harry Bryden et.al. the phenomena is not new with “the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation having slowed by about 30 percent between 1957 and 2004”.

If you are confused, don’t feel alone. I remember being totally confused by the advice from the handsome Jack Hall (played by Dennis Quaid) in last year’s must see Hollywood movie The Day After Tomorrow.

I’ve just re-read a review of the movie:

A climatologist tries to figure out a way to save the world from abrupt global warming. He must get to his young son in New York, which is being taken over by a new ice age.

Crazy stuff!

And today campaigners protested against global warming with ABC Online reporting that:

Thousands of people across Australia are [today] taking part in protests calling on the Federal Government to ratify the Kyoto protocol.

The ‘Walk Against Warming’ is part of an international day of action in 40 countries coinciding with the United Nations climate change talks in Montreal.

Walks are being held in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Adelaide, Perth and Canberra.

… “Our scientists are telling us that Victoria’s going to have more drought, less rainfall, more extreme weather and it’s really going to affect our water stores,” Ms Phelan said.

“It’s looking like we’re going to have up to 20 per cent less water by 2050.” end of quote from ABC online

But perhaps the banners should have red “Walk Against Cooling”.

I have previously written that the biggest lie from the global warming alarmists is that it is going to get drier as it gets warmer, click here. The most likely scenario is that there will be more rain and more snow as it gets warmer because warm air hold more moisture.

But maybe it will get drier because it is going to get cooler?

One thing is for sure, the earth’s climate is going to get warmer or cooler. The earth’s climate has always changed – climate change is for sure.

So maybe it is OK for the experts to flip-flop between warming and cooling scenarios? As long as noone suggests we can stop climate change!

………………
For more indepth discussion of the new Harry Bryden et. al. paper, there are other blogs, click here and other blogs, click here and here.

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: Climate & Climate Change

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Jennifer Marohasy Jennifer Marohasy BSc PhD has worked in industry and government. She is currently researching a novel technique for long-range weather forecasting funded by the B. Macfie Family Foundation. Read more

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