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Jennifer Marohasy

Jennifer Marohasy

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Did It Really Get That Cold in Stanthorpe?

July 13, 2006 By jennifer

A couple of hours drive west from my home in Brisbane, is a place called Stanthorpe up on the Great Dividing Range. The town has an abattoir and according to its operator John Allen, as reported by James Nason at Farm Online, it closed on Monday because temperatures dropped to -20 C and broke water pipes [1].

I didn’t think it got that cold in Queensland! Can we believe John Allen?

————————
[1] Breaking Rural News : LIVESTOCK, Meatworks freezes as mercury hits -20c in Stanthrope, Qld
By JAMES NASON – Australia, Wednesday, 12 July 2006, http://www.farmonline.com.au/news_daily.asp?ag_id=35703

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: Climate & Climate Change

The Aral Sea in 2006: A Note from Frank McKinnell

July 12, 2006 By jennifer

The following comments by Australian forester Frank McKinnell are based on three visits to the Aral Sea region between 2004 and 2006, including trips out onto the Dry Aral Seabed (DAS) on both the Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan sides of the border:

“The Dry Aral Sea (DRA) is one of two serious environmental problems that Kazakhstan inherited from the former Soviet Union, the other being the Polygon nuclear test site, near the city of Semey, where about 600 nuclear weapons were set off.

The Aral Sea lies roughly half and half in Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan, and in a region of largely flat topography, covered by shrubby steppe vegetation. At the present time (2006) it is about half the area it was in 1960 and the rate of drying up is continuing, at least in the southern portion. In some places the edge of the Sea is said to now be 200 km away from where it was in 1960. One can go to what were formerly seaside fishing villages and see marooned ex-fishing boats many kilometres out of sight of the water.

The Aral is fed by two major rivers, the Amur Darya (formerly known as the Oxus) and the Syr Darya. Since 1960 the rate of inflow into the Aral has been greatly reduced by diversion of the water into a series of ill-conceived irrigation schemes in Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan.

The irrigation schemes were ill-conceived in two ways:

• Part of the irrigated area was located on land that had a saline subsoil, with the inevitable consequence that groundwater tables rose, the salt rose to the surface, and the surface soil became saline. This is now largely wasteland.
• The main crops grown on the irrigated land were cotton and rice, and both had disastrous effects. The rice cultivation required huge volumes of water, which had adverse effects on the river flow, and exacerbated the rise of the groundwater. The cotton required heavy applications of insecticide, some of which washed out in the irrigation tailwater and ended up in the Aral Sea. When the Sea dried up, the chemicals remained in the sediments and were subsequently blown about in duststorms. This is widely believed to have had adverse effects on the health of people living downwind of the Sea, although definitive scientific studies to demonstrate this are so far lacking. People living in the region that I spoke with are emphatic that the incidence and severity of duststorms has greatly increased as the Sea dried up and that their health problems have become worse.

Despite the land management problems, large scale irrigated agriculture continues, for economic and social reasons.

As the sea retreated, it exposed a large area, now some 4 million ha, of flat or slightly undulating land. In some places it is mobile sand dunes, and in others it is heavier textured silty soils. There is a large area of the solonchak soil type, which is particularly difficult to work with, being both alkaline and saline. The salts in this case are both sodium chloride and sodium carbonate.

Figure 1. Newly exposed seabed
aral1.jpg

Figure 2. After a time sand dunes develop, but the depressions usually have solonchak soils.
aral2.jpg

The prospects for improving the condition of the DAS are severely limited by the extreme climate of the region. The annual rainfall is about 300mm and the climate is an extreme continental type, with temperatures falling to as low as -40ºC in winter and rising to +40ºC in midsummer. Furthermore, the wind strengths are very high, and make working out in the open almost impossible in the late afternoon, especially in winter.

The DAS does develop a vegetative cover naturally, starting with salt tolerant plants such as Salicornia, but the process is slow. The soils are quite variable and some types are very difficult to vegetate. Nevertheless some research in the early 1980s indicated that it was possible to speed up the rate of revegetation and achieve a more diverse plant assembly.

Figure 3. Natural revegetation.
aral3.jpg

The duststorms have been recognised as a problem for many years. In an effort to reduce their effect, a revegetation program was commenced in the 1980s, but this ceased, due to lack of funds, after the breakup of the Soviet Union in 1990. In the last 5 years, an aid project funded by Germany has been working on revegetation of the DAS on the Uzbek side of the border. The World Bank and the Government of Kazakhstan are jointly developing a similar project on the Kazakh side.

There are two possible approaches to the addressing the environmental issues arising from the DAS: try to refill the Sea again, and develop a vegetative cover on the exposed sea bed and so reduce the amount of dust transported by wind. Both avenues are currently being tackled. I should add that there is now a good deal of cooperation between Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan on this issue. While the level of cooperation might not yet be ideal, it does exist and is improving.

1. Refilling the Sea
In Kazakhstan, a EU-funded project is promoting more efficient use of irrigation water and supporting river bed improvement schemes that will increase the flow into the northern Aral. Similar work is under way in the irrigation areas fed by the Amur Darya in Uzbekistan, although the emphasis there seems to be more on changing cropping away from water-hungry rice to more water-efficient crops.

An overall review of the prospects for the Aral has found that there is no chance whatever of refilling the entire Sea in the foreseeable future. However, there is a good chance of partially recovering the northern section of the Aral, if the inflow from the Syr Darya is prevented from moving into the southern section. It has been decided that, on balance, a partially recovered North Aral is better than a devastated whole Aral. To this end, a dam is being constructed across a narrow neck of the Aral west of the town of Kazalinsk. I have not seen this dam myself, but have been told that the dam will raise the level of the northern Aral by about 12 metres. If so, a large part of the northern section will be restored, although salinity will probably be higher than in the Aral before 1960. In April 2006, people at Aralsk told me that the northern Aral had started to rise again.

2. Developing a Vegetative Cover on the DAS
The philosophy lying behind active programs to develop vegetative cover is basically that, left to itself, nature will do the job, but not very well and it will take an inconveniently long time about it. Therefore, some assistance to the process is justified. Research in the mid 1980s was able to develop methods of establishment of salt tolerant species on some of the soil types. This research has been continued by the German GTZ project in Uzbekistan and is intended to be a major part of the new project in Kazakhstan.

Figure 4. Research trial of saxaul (Haloxylon sp) about 6 years old. The need for a variety of other species for revegetation is apparent.
aral4.jpg

The idea of the revegetation programs is to hasten the rehabilitation process, which will bring about relatively rapid environmental benefits for the region, and also produce a more diverse ecosystem.

The long term use of the DAS has not been decided, but the thinking in Kazakhstan at the present time seems to lean towards making the area some sort of nature reserve. This would certainly provide the best protection for the soil, and so minimise the dust problem, but it will require attention to be given to control of wildfire, so that the soil is not bared once again. A wildfire problem on a former sea bed must be a unique situation!”

Thanks Frank McKinnell for sharing this information with us.

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: Water

What Will Power Tomorrow?

July 11, 2006 By jennifer

Last night Australian current affairs program Four Corners ran a story titled ‘Peak oil?’.

It began with the proposition that we might run out of oil soon and that this could be catastrophic, but then went on to outline a range of alternatives. The program reminded me of all the useful comments in the thread following my blog post of March 8 ‘We will never run out of oil: Philip Burgess’.

Four Corners even quoted Brian Fisher from ABARE suggesting that we could liquefy coal at US$40 a barrel which is cheaper than oil from the ground now at US$70 a barrel. Of course, while it might be affordable, liquefying coal will generate lots of greenhouse gases.

I wonder how many greenhouse gases the other potential options will generate including solar, biofuels (ethanol and biodiesel including from algae), hydrogen fuel cells, CNG (natural gas/methane), oil from tar sands, oil from shale … What else could be used to power cars, trucks and tractors?

Give Sweden is confident it’s economy can become ‘independent of oil’ by 2020 I am confident the rest of the world will also manage beyond peak oil. The Swedes propose to run their cars on ethanol and generate electricity from ‘rivers and nuclear’.

Just today new environment group the Australian Environment Foundation [1] put out a media release stating that our energy future will be “volatile and unpredictable” and called for a “significant expansion of the federal government’s inquiry into nuclear energy, as the current review will not produce a sufficiently accurate or useful comparison between the various energy generating options.”

It’s fair to conclude that there will be a worldwide transition from oil to something else, but we don’t know how rough or smooth that transition might be, nor how imminent.
————————————————–

[1] I’m a director of the AEF.

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: Energy & Nuclear

More Interested in Crying ‘Water’, Than Buying Land & Water

July 10, 2006 By jennifer

Television personality John Doyle (from Roy and HG) was on Australia’s Radio National yesterday afternoon talking about the environmental problems he observed as he ventured down the Darling River recently with another Australian celebrity Tim Flannery.

I gather the journey was undertaken in a small boat earlier in the year and is being turned into a television documentary lamenting the state of the river and blaming irrigation in south western Queensland.

Doyle suggested that one hundred years ago the river used to ‘dry up’ because of drought, now the problem is apparently cotton farmers upstream taking all the water.

Interestingly two very large irrigated cotton farms were auctioned just last Friday; Ballandool Station at Hebel and Clyde at Dirranbandi. Together they have a storage capacity of 220,000 megalitres which is huge.

I am surprised there was no interest from any government in buying the properties which were passed in at auction for $20 and $27 million respectively. The irrigation licences could have been cancelled and the water ‘returned’ for the Darling River.

Meanwhile, on Saturday the Sydney Morning Herald published a long piece by Daniel Lewis titled ‘Fat Ducks, fat cattle – fat chance’ [1] that quotes from my blog piece titled ‘Cattle killing the Macquarie Marshes?‘ [2]. This is the first time I’ve read something in the mainstream media acknowledging that there might be an overgrazing problem in the marshes. Usually the finger is only pointed at the irrigators.

Lewis also quotes Chris Hogandyk from Auscott suggesting that government would get a better environmental result by spending $33.2 million buying 82,000 hectares of core marshland than spending money on ‘environmental water’ that ends up fattening cattle.

Reference was made in the Sydney Morning Herald to the following photograph, first published at this blog in October last year:

marsh grazing aerial c.jpg

As I wrote in the original blog post, the photograph taken in 2005 shows the dramatic impact of grazing. The fence is the line of demarcation between an overgrazed private property and ungrazed nature reserve. The impact of grazing here is obvious and dramatic.

A very similiar photograph was taken three years earlier in 2002 and published by the Australian Geographic as explained at my second blog post on the Macquarie Marshes entitled ‘Marsh Graziers Don’t Pay For Their Water’.

I wrote last year that it seems incredible that flood-plain graziers are screaming so loudly for more water and yet the issue of overgrazing is being ignored by all.

Well, just maybe, overgrazing as an issue, in the marshes, is now starting to be acknowledged!

Thanks Daniel Lewis.

—————–
[1] Fat ducks, fat cattle – fat chance
On one side of the river stand the irrigators, on the other the graziers. Both are pointing the finger over the demise of the Macquarie Marshes, writes Daniel Lewis.
Sydney Morning Herald, Saturday 8th July 2006
http://www.smh.com.au/news/national/fat-ducks-fat-cattle–fat-chance/2006/07/07/1152240493862.html

[2] Cattle Killing the Macquarie Marshes
October 21, 2005. https://jennifermarohasy.com.dev.internet-thinking.com.au/blog/archives/000949.html

I’ve written two other pieces on the marshes:
Marsh Graziers Don’t Pay For Their Water, October 25, 2005
https://jennifermarohasy.com.dev.internet-thinking.com.au/blog/archives/000958.html
and
Fat Ducks Equal Fat Cows, On Line Opinion 18th April 2006
http://www.onlineopinion.com.au/view.asp?article=4377

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: Water

Whaling – Con & Pro: Klaus Barthelmess

July 10, 2006 By jennifer

According to German historian Klaus Barthelmess it is “Pure presumptuousness!” to suggest that world opinion is against whaling. He writes:

“This opinion [against whaling] is almost exclusively found in densely populated urban Western societies, where people have become alienated from nature and where care for pet animals compensates for weakened family ties and social bonds. These societies – perhaps 20% of the world population – may be the most outspoken and influential, but by no means do they represent ‘World Opinion’.”

Barthelmess has just updated a brochure entitled ‘Whaling – Con & Pro’ that he wrote 12 years ago for the annual meeting of the International Whaling Commission in Puerto Vallarta.

Judging from the content of the brochure the arguments for and against whaling have not changed or progressed much over the last 12 years.

The brochure now available online, passionately argues the case for whaling and is illustrated from Barthelmess’s collection of ‘whaling-related art’ including pictures of what he describes as the ‘fastest-killing device ever invented’, the Norwegian penthrite harpoon grenade.

Barthelmess killing devices whales.jpg
[Norwegian penthrite harpoon grenade, prototype parts and models. Photo Barthelmess 2005]

————-
Apologies to those who unsuccessfully tried to post a comment at this blog over the weekend. We were all (me included) accidentally ‘locked’ out over the weekend when some files on the server where ‘cleaned up’ on Friday. All is working again now.

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: Plants and Animals

Norwegian Whalers Show Tourists How It’s Done

July 6, 2006 By jennifer

Tourists on a whale watching expedition in Norwegian waters were not impressed when some eager whalers, taking advantage of the nice weather, harpooned one of the whales they were watching.

Read the story in the Aftenposten, click here.

—————
Thanks to Ann for sending us the link.

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: Plants and Animals

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Jennifer Marohasy Jennifer Marohasy BSc PhD has worked in industry and government. She is currently researching a novel technique for long-range weather forecasting funded by the B. Macfie Family Foundation. Read more

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