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Jennifer Marohasy

Jennifer Marohasy

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News

Nathan Dam would have mitigated Theodore flooding

December 29, 2010 By jennifer

State and federal governments, blinded by alarmist reports falsely predicting a dry future, have done very little about flood mitigation – except perhaps from sea-level rise.

Earlier today, the small town of Theodore was evacuated as the Dawson River flooded.     

The Dawson River merges with the McKenzie River, forming the Fitzroy River, which flows through Rockhampton and into Keppel Bay – a little to the south of where I now live.

For years locals have wanted the river dammed upstream of Theodore including for the development of irrigated agriculture.

Construction was to be completed in 2005, but the World Wide Fund for Nature (WWF) and the Queensland Conservation Council fought the Commonwealth Government over potential downstream impacts on the Great Barrier Reef and won – and construction never started. 

In 2006 the Nathan Dam was identified again as important infrastructure, this time for the Central Queensland Regional Water Supply Strategy, in particular for the mining industry. 

Planning for the dam, however, was again interrupted for environmental reasons, in particular the potential impact of the dam on the critically endangered Boggomoss Snail. 

Initially the Commonwealth Department of Environment, Water, Heritage, and the Arts mandated a translocation trial to assess the viability of relocating the snail to an alternative habitat – then it was discovered there were many more snails and with a wider geographic range than initially thought.

I am not normally in favor of more dam building, for example, there are already enough dams within the Murray-Darling Basin.  And I am against grand schemes to pipe water long distances at great expense, for example from North Queensland to the Murray Darling Basin.

However, Queensland could do with a few more dams particularly dams like the proposed Nathan Dam.   The water would be used locally for mining and also to develop a local irrigated agricultural industry.   At the moment much of the catchment is grazed, and that has its own environmental impact.

And I wonder if there might not be a net environmental benefit from the dam if it stops the flooding of towns like Theodore and the city of Rockhampton.

How significant are water quality impacts on a body of water, when it flows, for example, through a town like Theodore?

*********************

Related Links:

Theodore floods: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-pacific-12084735 

WWF wins court case against Nathan Dam: http://www.edo.org.au/edoqld/new/nathanwin.pdf

Recent planning for the Nathan Dam: http://www.derm.qld.gov.au/water/infrastr_prg_works/pdf/nathan-dam-qr-aug2010.pdf 

And I spoke to these notes in Sydney earlier in the year, about how we live in a land of floods as well as drought, but government was not listening: http://www.htw.com.au/Industry_Presentations/Jennifer-Marohasy-Presentation-Sydney-2010.pdf

Filed Under: News, Opinion Tagged With: Floods

A Time for Sharing

December 24, 2010 By jennifer

Frogs in the Daintree

I’ve just received an email with Season’s Greetings from Neil Hewett.  Those who have followed this blog for several years will remember Neil for his wonderful posts from the Daintree Rainforest of North Queensland – the oldest surviving rainforest in the world. 

Neil wrote:

As 2010 draws to a close, we reflect upon a year of challenge and excitement.  Passing the seven-metre mark, it was the wettest year in living memory and surely the year of the tree-frog, whose niche is best supported in an abundance of rainfall. 

It was also the year that we learnt of the separation of the Northern population of Stoney Creek Tree Frog into its own species:  Northern Stoney Creek Frog Litoria jungguy, depicted in festive splendour (above – click on the image to see the other frog). 

Cassowary sightings were unprecedented in their frequency.  Over the years, the big birds have become increasingly nonchalant in our presence, but 2010 has set a new standard.  There were times when we were regularly seeing eight different birds a day, sometimes all at once.  With every year that passes, we gain additional insight into the complex social arrangements that distinguish these rainforest ratites with wisdom commensurate with their years.

One of the most important and appreciated gifts of the year is the completion of the first half of the Cooper Creek causeway.  Whilst a development that would probably go largely unnoticed by external interests, there are many important reasons why this significant infrastructure upgrade will provide benefits to the Daintree Rainforest, the people that live within it and the travelers that provide the sole conservation economy through their patronage.

Visit Neil at:

http://www.ccwild.com/

************

And best wishes to Neil and Angie, Tulli, Taiga, Tkoda and Prue, and also to you and yours, for Christmas 2010.

Filed Under: News Tagged With: Plants and Animals

The Inevitable Triumph of Nuclear Power?

December 24, 2010 By jennifer

“ANNA Bligh, the Queensland Premier, has backed calls for the Labor Party to review its policy on nuclear power

“The Queensland Premier has warned that renewable sources cannot meet the surging demand for baseload electricity…  according to The Australian.

PHIL Sawyer, friend, retired fisherman, foundation member of the Australian Environment Foundation and member of the ALP, explains why the ALP will vote for nuclear at the national conference next year:

“THE recent flurry of statements about nuclear energy from some  ALP politicians, including the PM, have ensured that the subject will be debated at next year’s national conference. The consequences of this  development are going to be considerable.

Not least, the work of  Parliament’s Climate Committee is now reduced to irrelevance. How can this Committee possibly come to any conclusion about a national carbon price regime before the ALP decides its energy policy?

Impossible.   It will be forced to defer its deliberations until the ALP conference finally decides the issue. Thus the chief vehicle of Green influence on the Government will be sidelined for a year, an interesting development  indeed.

[Read more…] about The Inevitable Triumph of Nuclear Power?

Filed Under: News, Opinion Tagged With: Energy & Nuclear

Official Seasonal Forecasts Wrong Again

December 23, 2010 By jennifer

“Let’s hope Santa isn’t relying on weather forecasts from the U.K. Met Office. The British deep freeze of recent weeks (which has also immobilized much of continental Europe) is profoundly embarrassing for the official forecaster. Just two months ago it projected a milder than usual winter.

“This debacle is more than merely embarrassing. The Met Office is front and centre in rationalizing the British government’s commitment to fight catastrophic man-made global warming with more and bigger bureaucracy, so its conspicuous errors raise yet more questions about that “settled” science…

Read more: http://opinion.financialpost.com/2010/12/21/peter-foster-rosy-u-k-cheeks-mean-red-faces-at-the-met-office/#ixzz18sd33Kcb

Meanwhile in Australia, the Bureau of Meteorology was forecasting below average rainfall for those parts of the Murray Darling Basin that were dumped on early September, with the worst flooding in 15 years.   Last summer (2009-2010) the forecast was for more dry, and overall we have been led to believe it wouldn’t ever rain again like it used to, thus the investment in desalination etcetera.

And because the mainstream media, at least most journalists, are partial to Anthropogenic Global Warming theory, they don’t hold the Bureau accountable for any of their expensive and wrong seasonal forecasts.

Back to the UK, according to Peter Foster: “[T]he price tag on the country’s unpreparedness for this winter could reach $15-billion.”

And in Australia, never mind even trying to even get an estimate on what unpreparedness for the floods might be costing, we can’t even get the relevant water managers to agree that topping up a deluge with releases from a dam only 20 percent full has consequences…

Read more: https://jennifermarohasy.com.dev.internet-thinking.com.au/blog/2010/12/government-to-finally-act-on-bureaucratic-flooding/

Oh.  And from Peter Forster in parting: “…The suggestion that forecasting the climate is easier than forecasting the weather comes into the same category as acknowledging that governments couldn’t run a lemonade stand, but then believing that they can “manage” an economy.”

Filed Under: News, Opinion Tagged With: Climate & Climate Change, Floods

Nominate a Best Blog: Graham Young

December 23, 2010 By jennifer

It’s been a big year, especially the second half. An election where they disinvited Kevin Rudd, the Republicans rolled the Democrats, and now Julian Assange rolls everyone. Plenty for bloggers to blog about, and we’re hunting for the best of them.

Best Blogs is a collaboration with Club Troppo where we look for the best blog posts in the preceding year and then publish them on OLO in the following January. Please send us your submissions using the form here:

http://polling.nationalforum.com.au/index.php?sid=11496&lang=en

Filed Under: News Tagged With: Advertisements

Snowy Hydro Still in Denial: Ben Glover

December 22, 2010 By jennifer

SNOWY Hydro has denied playing a role in exacerbating this month’s devastating floods despite a leaked document which appears to show that the authority released almost 7000 megalitres from Eucumbene Dam on December 8 – causing water levels to rise to peaks of close to 10 metres downstream in the Murrumbidgee.

Any water release from Eucumbene, floods or no floods, has raised eyebrows among a number of farmers and politicians, specifically because it is just over 20 per cent full, and Riverina MP Michael McCormack has labelled it “a disgrace”.

“It’s totally ridiculous to think that any dam would be releasing water when it’s nowhere near its capacity,” Mr McCormack said. “It’s totally incomprehensible that this would happen.”

The document in question, obtained by The Daily Advertiser this week, maps the inflows and outflows from each of the major dams on December 8 and is known as an operational plan.

It was initially sourced from a Snowy Hydro staff member concerned with the disregard shown for communities downstream.

Snowy Hydro has since rejected the veracity of the document however, explaining that it was just a “forecast model”, which was changed so that the floods downstream could be mitigated for.

The company has refused however, to provide the actual operational plan for December 8, citing “commercial in confidence”.

Snowy Hydro’s role in the floods was last week called into question by a number of media outlets and on December 15, metropolitan newspapers reported Snowy Hydro CEO Terry Charlton’s claims that the authority had not released any water on December 8.

“What we did last week, because we anticipated the floods, is we stopped releasing anything on Wednesday,” Mr Charlton said.

“So we took as much as possible into storage to mitigate the floods.

“But by Thursday and Friday we didn’t have the capacity to store it because we were chockers.”
A spokesman for Snowy Hydro has this week maintained Mr Charlton’s defence.
“We’ve already commented on these assertions and we have nothing further to add to what was in the Sydney press last week,” the spokesman said.

Tumut mayor Trina Thomson lives near the river and very nearly had to evacuate her home during the peak of the floods. She has called for Snowy Hydro to make available any data that could paint a clearer picture as to why the floods got to the level they did.

“I’d appreciate some transparency considering we have a number of landholders impacted on by the recent flood,” Cr Thomson said. “I think there are some grey areas that have to be clarified.”

Member for Murrumbidgee Adrian Piccoli, Wagga MP Daryl Maguire and NSW Opposition spokeswoman for water Katrina Hodgkinson were also strong in their views that Snowy Hydro should release all relevant data, but the office of the NSW Water Minister, Phillip Costa, refused to buy into the debate, saying only that they “would not comment on hypotheticals”.

Instead they brushed the issue aside to be dealt with by the NSW Office of Water, which sent a generic statement.  “Snowy Hydro operates within the conditions of its operating licence
and the NSW Office of Water ensures compliance,” the statement said.

“In response to a recent five-year licence review, both Snowy Hydro and the NSW Office of Water have increased the amount of information on operations available on their websites.”

Update: This article is now available on the website of The Daily Advertiser: http://www.dailyadvertiser.com.au/news/local/news/general/snowy-hydro-under-fire-over-water-release/2032134.aspx 

**********

Ben Glover from The Daily Advertiser in Wagga Wagga is the only person to have asked me directly for a copy of the Operational Plan.   Staff at both The Australian and the Australian Financial Review are aware of the story, aware of the leaked document, but so far have not followed-up or indicated that if I sent them a copy of the Operational Plan they may be too busy to follow-up or are about to go on Christmas holidays and couldn’t study it until January 5.   Prolific commentator at this blog, Polyaulax, has not  followed-up by asking for a copy of the document by phone or email.

Filed Under: News, Opinion Tagged With: Floods, Murray River, Snowy Hydro

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Jennifer Marohasy Jennifer Marohasy BSc PhD has worked in industry and government. She is currently researching a novel technique for long-range weather forecasting funded by the B. Macfie Family Foundation. Read more

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To get in touch with Jennifer call 0418873222 or international call +61418873222.

Email: jennifermarohasy at gmail.com

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