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Jennifer Marohasy

Jennifer Marohasy

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Introducing Andrei Illarionov’s Blog

December 14, 2009 By jennifer

Dear colleagues,

Some of you may find interesting pieces on Climte Change that I posted recently in my blog.
In most cases text is in Russian, in few – in English.
But charts and pictures are mostly in English.
You may use them as you find suitable.

Best regards,
Andrei Illarionov

Blog:
www.aillarionov.livejournal.com

Texts:
Cyclical Fluctuations of Arctic Climate
http://aillarionov.livejournal.com/143833.html

How “Melts” Ice on the Planet
 http://aillarionov.livejournal.com/143516.html

A Few Notes on Climate Change
http://aillarionov.livejournal.com/143137.html

How “Melts” Arctic Ice
http://aillarionov.livejournal.com/142912.html

Index of Green Madness
http://aillarionov.livejournal.com/142774.html

ClimatGate’s Further Evolution: Scandal in Copenhagen http://aillarionov.livejournal.com/141551.html

Tim Ball on ClimateGate
http://aillarionov.livejournal.com/138601.html

Lysenko-ism on March
http://aillarionov.livejournal.com/137513.html

Vaganov’s File: a New Computer Game
http://aillarionov.livejournal.com/136606.html

Birth and Death of the Hockey Stick
http://aillarionov.livejournal.com/136432.html

Is This a Plateau? Or is it Already Cooling?
http://aillarionov.livejournal.com/135801.html

On the Recent Rate of Warming
http://aillarionov.livejournal.com/135662.html

ClimateGate. Lord Lawson Calls for Public Inquiry http://aillarionov.livejournal.com/134798.html

ClimateGate. Selected Excerpts from the Emails Exchange http://aillarionov.livejournal.com/134798.html

Global Scandalling
http://aillarionov.livejournal.com/134249.html

Scientific-type BS arrived
http://aillarionov.livejournal.com/132129.html

Good-bye, Global Warming! Cycles and Institutions http://aillarionov.livejournal.com/72302.html

Filed Under: Community

Nominate a Best Blog Post

December 14, 2009 By jennifer

“Best Blog Posts ‘09 is up and running … Posted by Ken Parish on Wednesday, December 2, 2009… For four years now (ages in blogosphere terms) Club Troppo and On Line Opinion have sponsored a showcase of Australian independent blogging, which we call ‘Best Blog Posts of <year>’…
http://clubtroppo.com.au/2009/12/02/best-blog-posts-09-is-up-and-running/ 

Hi Ken/Graham, 

I’ve never been good with forms so I was going to just post my nominations for best blogs for 2009 at Ken’s site.  Then I remembered that I am banned from his site – I think for suggesting in a comment that he was a Labor party man who really knew very little about climate change – after he accused me of being a lackey for the right.

Anyway,  my nominations are following and I hope that even though they have been penned by sceptics, they will be given a fair reading.

Cheers,   Jennifer Marohasy

Warnings about Bushfire Warnings
By Roger Underwood
https://jennifermarohasy.com.dev.internet-thinking.com.au/blog/2009/08/warnings-about-bushfire-warnings/

Hot City or Global Warming?
By Michael Hammer
https://jennifermarohasy.com.dev.internet-thinking.com.au/blog/2009/06/hot-city-or-global-warming/

Why I am an Anthropogenic Global Warming Sceptic
by Michael Hammer
https://jennifermarohasy.com.dev.internet-thinking.com.au/blog/2009/09/why-i-am-an-anthropogenic-global-warming-sceptic-michael-hammer/ 

Defining the Sceptics (Part 5)
by Raymond Harvey
https://jennifermarohasy.com.dev.internet-thinking.com.au/blog/2009/06/defining-the-sceptics-part-5/

Filed Under: Community

The Little Ice Age Thermometers Project

December 13, 2009 By jennifer

THE Little Ice Age Thermometers project is an attempt to compile instrumental readings from 1660 that predate the era of modern ‘global temperatures’ as recorded by the Climate Research Unit (CRU)/ Hadley Centre in the UK since 1850 and the Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) since 1880. 

The project demonstrates that climate variability prior to the modern era is much greater than officially recognised, and that global records are measured from troughs of the little ice age and should therefore cause no surprise when they subsequently rise.

Context to past temperatures that predate instrumental records can be found by examining the various articles within this web site regarding the warmer Medieval warm period (MWP) and Roman warm optimum and the world wide impacts of these- and other- warm and cold events. There are also many links to other web sites contaning invaluable information.

Modern warming – where it exists- often appears to be an artefact of the way temperatures are compiled, or represent very real warming caused locally by the Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect. UHI is poorly calculated in correction factors used in the global temperature datasets although they themselves are a reflection of the dramatic urbanisation of the world during the past fifty years.

This web site therefore exists primarily as the means to examine historic aspects of climate change in the belief this will help to put the modern era into context, as merely a continuation of what has occurred in the past.

http://climatereason.com/LittleIceAgeThermometers/

Tony Brown
tony AT thefamilybrown.freeserve.co.uk

Filed Under: Community

Recent Papers at ‘Science and Public Policy Institute’

December 13, 2009 By jennifer

Climategate: Caught Green-Handed!                     
Written by Christopher Monckton 
http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/originals/climategate.html

 Climategate: Is Peer-Review in Need of Change?                       
Written by Chip Knappenberger 
http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/commentaries_essays/climategate_peer_review.html

A Simple Proof that Global Warming is not Man-made                    
Written by Dr. David Evans
http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/reprint/simple_proof.html

Climate Change: This is the Worst Scientific Scandal of Our Generation                
Written by Christopher Booker
http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/commentaries_essays/worst_scandal.html

In Praise of CO2: ‘Earth is the Greenest its been in Decades, Perhaps in Centuries’           
Written by Marc Morano
http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/blog_watch/co2_praise.html

Climate Challenges                    
Written by Representative John Linder
http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/commentaries_essays/climate_challenges.html

Global Warming’s New Clothes                  
Written by Rosslyn Smith
http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/commentaries_essays/new_clothes.html

The Climate Science Isn’t Settled                     
Written by Richard S. Lindzen
http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/commentaries_essays/science_isnt_settled.html

Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme                     
Written by Senator Steve Fielding
http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/commentaries_essays/carbon_scheme.html

Copenhagen Climate Concerns                   
  Produced by Sherwood, Keith and Craig Idso
http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/commentaries_essays/copenhagen_climate_concerns.html

Three Speeches by Michael Crichton                    
By the late Michael Crichton
http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/commentaries_essays/crichton_three_speeches.html

Climate Conspiracy                    
Written by Peter Wood and Ashley Thorne
http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/commentaries_essays/c_conspiracy.html

My Top 10 Annoyances in the Climate Change Debate                     
Written by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D.
http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/blog_watch/top_10.html

What is the ‘Hockey Stick’ Debate About?                      
Written by Ross McKitrick 
http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/reprint/hockey_debate.html

Extreme Heat vs. Extreme Cold, Which is the Greatest Killer?                  
Written by Sherwood, Keith and Craig Idso
http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/commentaries_essays/greatest_killer.html

===========================
Robert Ferguson, President
Science and Public Policy Institute
www.scienceandpublicpolicy.org

Filed Under: Community Tagged With: Climate & Climate Change

Armed Security Stop Questioning of Climategate

December 12, 2009 By jennifer

Hi Jennifer,

“A Stanford Professor has used United Nation security officers to silence a journalist asking him “inconvenient questions”  during a press briefing at the climate change conference in Copenhagen.

“Professor Stephen Schneider’s assistant requested armed UN security officers who held film maker Phelim McAleer, ordered him to stop filming and prevented further questioning after the press conference where the Stanford academic was launching a book…

http://biggovernment.com/2009/12/11/un-security-stops-journalists-questions-about-climategate/

Ann
http://www.noteviljustwrong.com/

Filed Under: Community

Editorial The Guardian: Fourteen days to seal history’s judgment on this generation

December 8, 2009 By jennifer

TODAY 56 newspapers in 45 countries take the unprecedented step of speaking with one voice through a common editorial. We do so because humanity faces a profound emergency.

Unless we combine to take decisive action, climate change will ravage our planet, and with it our prosperity and security. The dangers have been becoming apparent for a generation. Now the facts have started to speak: 11 of the past 14 years have been the warmest on record, the Arctic ice-cap is melting and last year’s inflamed oil and food prices provide a foretaste of future havoc. In scientific journals the question is no longer whether humans are to blame, but how little time we have got left to limit the damage. Yet so far the world’s response has been feeble and half-hearted.

• How the Copenhagen global leader came about
• Write your own editorial
• The papers that carried the Copenhagen editorial
• In pictures: How newspapers around the world ran the editorial

Climate change has been caused over centuries, has consequences that will endure for all time and our prospects of taming it will be determined in the next 14 days. We call on the representatives of the 192 countries gathered in Copenhagen not to hesitate, not to fall into dispute, not to blame each other but to seize opportunity from the greatest modern failure of politics. This should not be a fight between the rich world and the poor world, or between east and west. Climate change affects everyone, and must be solved by everyone.

The science is complex but the facts are clear. The world needs to take steps to limit temperature rises to 2C, an aim that will require global emissions to peak and begin falling within the next 5-10 years. A bigger rise of 3-4C — the smallest increase we can prudently expect to follow inaction — would parch continents, turning farmland into desert. Half of all species could become extinct, untold millions of people would be displaced, whole nations drowned by the sea. The controversy over emails by British researchers that suggest they tried to suppress inconvenient data has muddied the waters but failed to dent the mass of evidence on which these predictions are based.

Few believe that Copenhagen can any longer produce a fully polished treaty; real progress towards one could only begin with the arrival of President Obama in the White House and the reversal of years of US obstructionism. Even now the world finds itself at the mercy of American domestic politics, for the president cannot fully commit to the action required until the US Congress has done so.

But the politicians in Copenhagen can and must agree the essential elements of a fair and effective deal and, crucially, a firm timetable for turning it into a treaty. Next June’s UN climate meeting in Bonn should be their deadline. As one negotiator put it: “We can go into extra time but we can’t afford a replay.”

At the deal’s heart must be a settlement between the rich world and the developing world covering how the burden of fighting climate change will be divided — and how we will share a newly precious resource: the trillion or so tonnes of carbon that we can emit before the mercury rises to dangerous levels.

Rich nations like to point to the arithmetic truth that there can be no solution until developing giants such as China take more radical steps than they have so far. But the rich world is responsible for most of the accumulated carbon in the atmosphere – three-quarters of all carbon dioxide emitted since 1850. It must now take a lead, and every developed country must commit to deep cuts which will reduce their emissions within a decade to very substantially less than their 1990 level.

Developing countries can point out they did not cause the bulk of the problem, and also that the poorest regions of the world will be hardest hit. But they will increasingly contribute to warming, and must thus pledge meaningful and quantifiable action of their own. Though both fell short of what some had hoped for, the recent commitments to emissions targets by the world’s biggest polluters, the United States and China, were important steps in the right direction.

Social justice demands that the industrialised world digs deep into its pockets and pledges cash to help poorer countries adapt to climate change, and clean technologies to enable them to grow economically without growing their emissions. The architecture of a future treaty must also be pinned down – with rigorous multilateral monitoring, fair rewards for protecting forests, and the credible assessment of “exported emissions” so that the burden can eventually be more equitably shared between those who produce polluting products and those who consume them. And fairness requires that the burden placed on individual developed countries should take into account their ability to bear it; for instance newer EU members, often much poorer than “old Europe”, must not suffer more than their richer partners.

The transformation will be costly, but many times less than the bill for bailing out global finance — and far less costly than the consequences of doing nothing.

Many of us, particularly in the developed world, will have to change our lifestyles. The era of flights that cost less than the taxi ride to the airport is drawing to a close. We will have to shop, eat and travel more intelligently. We will have to pay more for our energy, and use less of it.

But the shift to a low-carbon society holds out the prospect of more opportunity than sacrifice. Already some countries have recognized that embracing the transformation can bring growth, jobs and better quality lives. The flow of capital tells its own story: last year for the first time more was invested in renewable forms of energy than producing electricity from fossil fuels.

Kicking our carbon habit within a few short decades will require a feat of engineering and innovation to match anything in our history. But whereas putting a man on the moon or splitting the atom were born of conflict and competition, the coming carbon race must be driven by a collaborative effort to achieve collective salvation.

Overcoming climate change will take a triumph of optimism over pessimism, of vision over short-sightedness, of what Abraham Lincoln called “the better angels of our nature”.

It is in that spirit that 56 newspapers from around the world have united behind this editorial. If we, with such different national and political perspectives, can agree on what must be done then surely our leaders can too.

The politicians in Copenhagen have the power to shape history’s judgment on this generation: one that saw a challenge and rose to it, or one so stupid that we saw calamity coming but did nothing to avert it. We implore them to make the right choice.

This editorial will be published tomorrow by 56 newspapers around the world in 20 languages including Chinese, Arabic and Russian. The text was drafted by a Guardian team during more than a month of consultations with editors from more than 20 of the papers involved. Like the Guardian most of the newspapers have taken the unusual step of featuring the editorial on their front page.

[This editorial is free to reproduce under Creative Commons]

Filed Under: Community, Events, Good Causes Tagged With: Climate & Climate Change

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Jennifer Marohasy Jennifer Marohasy BSc PhD has worked in industry and government. She is currently researching a novel technique for long-range weather forecasting funded by the B. Macfie Family Foundation. Read more

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To get in touch with Jennifer call 0418873222 or international call +61418873222.

Email: jennifermarohasy at gmail.com

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