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Jennifer Marohasy

Jennifer Marohasy

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Australian PM Rolls Over On Carbon Trading

November 14, 2006 By jennifer

Last night Australia’s Prime Minister, John Howard, announced an inquiry into a possible carbon trading scheme for Australia. He was speaking at the Business Council of Australia Annual Dinner in Sydney and the Ambassadors of both the United States and Indonesia were present. Towards the end of his speech, which was very much about Australia’s economic outlook, he said:

“I do want to say something about the related issues of climate change and energy security. And I very deliberately link the two of them because you can’t think of the reaction of relevant countries to climate change without understanding the importance to them of energy security. And some of the heightened concern about climate change issues in recent months – indeed in recent years – are very directly related to energy security. And we need to understand some fundamentals about the two of them, put bluntly, there is no way that a country is going to embrace climate change measures or responses to the growth of greenhouse gas emissions, which in anyway imperial the energy security of that country. And this is particularly so of countries such as China and India, countries which are for the first time in four or five hundred years reclaiming, particularly in the case of china, reclaiming their position in the world economy, enjoying extraordinarily rapid economic growth – economic growth which is very largely fuelled and supported and facilitated by cheap suppliers of energy from countries such as Australia, but also from their own and from other sources – and to expect a country like china to embrace change in relation to the climate, which in some way imperials the energy security, just at a time when it is beginning to enjoy the fruits of economic growth and remarkable rates of economic growth, is to expect the unachievable and the unrealistic.

I think it is important to keep the challenge of climate change in perspective. I share your President’s view that it is happening and although I have been accused and continue to be accused of being somewhat of sceptic on the issue, the truth is I’m not that sceptical, I think the weight of scientific evidence suggests that there are significant and damaging growths in the levels of greenhouse gas emissions and that unless we lay the foundation over the years immediately ahead of us to deal with the problem, future generations will face significant penalties and will have cause to criticise our failure to do something substantial in response.

The debate of course is about the intensity and the pace of the damage being done by climate change and there will continue to be very intense debate about that. We’ve made it very clear that we won’t ratify the Kyoto agreement – we took that decision some years ago because we feared that ratifying that agreement in the form in which it then and still largely exists, could have damaged the comparative advantage this country enjoyed as a result of our abundance of fossil fuels and the importance of that abundance to Australia’s export and general performance – and nothing has happened to alter that fact. In the meantime, however, we have committed ourselves to achieve the target of 108 that was given to us at the Kyoto meeting in 1997 and we are on track to achieve, or as near as dam it, achieve that outcome within the time stipulated.

I think it’s very obvious, both from what Michael Chanay said, and from what others have said in recent weeks, that we do need to find, call it what you may, a new Kyoto. We do need, as a world community, to try and find a new global solution and that global solution must include all of the major emitters. And we have to understand some of the fundamentals that drove the original Kyoto. The original Kyoto was largely fashioned, I don’t say this critically, I hope I say it objectively, it was largely fashioned to accommodate the environmental goals and position of European countries. It was built with not sufficient regard to the position of a country such as Australia, a highly developed country which was a net exporter of energy, and therefore I think the formation of AP6, which includes in aggregate, almost 50 per cent of the world’s emitters, also close to 50 per cent of the world’s population and also close to 50 per cent of the world’s GDP, that particular grouping can provide an extremely sure foundation for the development of a new international covenant or new international understanding on this issue.

It is imperative from our point of view that as we look at such issues as an emissions trading system that we fashion here in Australia, and see fashioned globally, a trading system that protects the natural advantages that this country has. This country does have enormous natural advantages of our resource industries, not only coal and gas, but importantly uranium as well. And let me say that, something I’ve said on a number of occasion in recent weeks, and that is that there is no one single solution to the global challenge. We need to maintain the profitability that our great abundance of fossil fuels has given us, we need to accelerate the development of clean coal technologies, and the like, that were identified two and a half years ago in the Energy White Paper, we need to recognise that at the purifier, but not as a contributor to base power load generation, renewables, such as solar and wind can make a valuable contribution and we also need to recognise the capacity, particularly as we develop clean coal technologies with the inevitable consequences they have for pricing, we need to examine and keep on the table the nuclear option. It is some years off but in a couple of weeks time Dr Ziggy Switkowski ’s committee will report and it, will I hope make available in a very objective fashion, the analysis of nuclear power, both in terms of safety availability, supply and the economic of it in the whole climate change equation.

I’ve indicated in the past that I do not intend to preside over policy changes in this area that are going to rob Australia of her competitive advantage in the industries that are so important to us and I repeat that commitment tonight. I do welcome the contribution that the Business Council has made and many other people in the business community have made to tackling this issue. Many of you will know that over the past few weeks the Government has reiterated its broad approach and later this week I will meet some significant business figures, some of them are in the room tonight, who are involved in the resource sector to discuss aspects of the Government’s response to the climate change challenge.

I want to indicate to you tonight that the Government will establish a joint government business task group to examine in some detail the form that an emissions trading system, both here in Australia and globally, might take in the years ahead. I think it is important to involve the business community in an analysis of this issue because decisions taken by the Government in this area will have lasting ramifications for Australia’s business community. I think we all recognise that we have to examine in the time ahead how we might devise an emissions trading system which properly cares for and accommodates the legitimate interests, and therefore maintains, the competitive advantage that this country enjoys in the industries that are familiar to you.

We do not want a new Kyoto that damages Australia. We need a new Kyoto that includes Australia but includes Australia on a basis which is appropriate to our interests and our needs. So therefore I indicate to you tonight that we will be establishing, in discussion with the Business Council of Australia and other business groups and individual business leaders, a joint government business task group that will examine, against the background of our clearly identified national interests and priorities, what form an emissions trading system, both here in Australia and globally, might take to make a lasting contribution to a response to the greenhouse gas challenge, but in a way that does not do disproportionate or unfair damage to the Australian economy and the industries which have been so enormously important to the generation of our wealth and the development of our living standards over the last 10 or 20 years.”

The annoucement would have caught many commentators by surprise. Indeed just yesterday the Australian media was reporting a possible rift between the PM and his Treasurer, Peter Costello, on climate change because over the weekend the Treasurer had publicly endorsed the idea of a carbon trading scheme for Australia post Kyoto, from 2012. No doubt he knew the PM would announce the same, officially, last night.

Its all good timing with Ian Campbell, Australia’s Environment Minister, over in Nairobi at the United Nation’s Climate Conference. The government appears to be branding its new approach to climate change the ‘new Kyoto’.

According to ABC Online:

“The president of BP Australia and member of the Business Roundtable on Climate Change, Gerry Hueston, has told Radio National Breakfast it is a welcome initiative.

“It’s important now that the big emitters like the US and China and potentially India come on board because their involvement is the thing that’s going to actually make the big difference,” he said.

The executive director of the Australian Conservation Foundation, Don Henry, has also welcomed the announcement.

He says the Government should now set a target for reductions in carbon pollution.

“The crucial thing in any emissions trading scheme is first and foremost what cap, what reductions in greenhouse gas emissions you’re going to require,” he said.”

In a recent column for The Land (26th October) I wrote that there is a place for government policies which promote carbon sequestration with particular reference to logging trees, woodland thickening and also biochar:

“Actively growing trees sequest carbon dioxide and harvesting this timber moves the stored carbon from the forest to the wooden product, be it a railway sleeper or bridge girder.

Rates of carbon sequestration slow as forests age with old growth forests storing but not sequesting carbon.

But environmental activists don’t much like the idea of actively managing forests as this involves cutting down trees.

So we end up using materials like concrete, steel and aluminum whose production involves lots of energy – and lots of carbon dioxide emissions.

Indeed, early this year, the Federal Government supported the Australian Rail Track Corporation’s decision to no-longer use timber railway sleepers.

In the future, the 400,000 railway sleepers it buys each year will be concrete, which according to Mark Poynter from the Institute of Foresters of Australia this will result in an extra 190,000 tonnes of carbon dioxide emissions each year.

At the recent Australian Environment Foundation conference, Mr Poynter put this in perspective by explaining that while the Victorian government has promoted wind farms as part of its renewable energy strategy (estimated to be saving 250,000 tonnes of greenhouse gas emissions per year), about 75 percent of this saving has, in effect, been negated by the decision to use concrete rather than wooden railway sleepers.

While every bit perhaps makes a difference, the really large carbon savings are in our rangelands.

Well known ecologist, Dr Bill Burrows, has calculated that grazed woodlands in Queensland alone sequest about 35 million tonnes of carbon dioxide each year.

Indeed if woodland thickening was including in Australia’s official Greenhouse Inventory we might not need any more wind farms.

Incredibly, because of the way the Kyoto Protocol is framed, Australia’s national carbon accounting system counts savings from the banning of broad-scale tree clearing, but not carbon savings from regrowth or woodland thickening in western NSW and Queensland.

What about counting the carbon in woody weeds converted into biochar – a charcoal with soil ameliorant properties – created through the type of low temperature patchy burns once practiced by Aborigines?

It is perhaps time for environmental activists as well as state and federal governments to open both eyes when it comes to global warming and start accurately considering all the opportunities and costs of carbon sequestration in our forests and rangelands.”

It’s certainly time for the bureaucrats to start consider all the big mechanisms for carbon sequestration, if the PM has really rolled over on the idea of a carbon trading scheme.

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: Climate & Climate Change, Energy & Nuclear

Golden Rice is Cost Effective: A Note from David Tribe

November 14, 2006 By jennifer

Hi Jennifer,

Vitamin A deficiency (VAD) afflicts many people around the world, especially in developing countries. Some of the adverse health outcomes of VAD include increased mortality, night blindness, corneal scars, blindness and measles among children, as well as night blindness among pregnant and lactating women. In a bid to reduce VAD-related diseases, rice plants were engineered to produce higher levels of beta-carotene in the endosperms or grains, and the result of this effort is Golden Rice 2. In an article in Nature Biotechnology, Alexander Stein and colleagues from the University of Hohenheim, Germany and Sitaram Bhartia Institute of Science & Research, India, presented a new methodology for assessing the potential impact and cost-effectiveness of Golden Rice 2 in India.

Read the complete blog post at http://gmopundit.blogspot.com/2006/11/assessing-benefits-of-golden-rice-2.html

Cheers, David Tribe

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: Biotechnology

Democrats Set to Change US Climate Change Policy

November 12, 2006 By jennifer

With the Democrats winning control of both the Senate and House of Representatives in the recent US elections, Senator Barbara Boxer will take over as chairman of the US Senate Environmental Public Works Committee and has pledged to introduce legislation to curb greenhouse gases. The legislation is likely to be modeled after a new California law that seeks to cut California’s emissions by 25 percent, dropping them to 1990 levels by 2020. Read the article at MSNBC by clicking here.

So the Democrats aren’t talking about signing Kyoto? Why not?

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: Climate & Climate Change

Scientific Facts Irrelevant: A Note from Eric Ness

November 10, 2006 By jennifer

Hi Jennifer,

I’m sure you have heard the old saying that rules are made to be broken. In most instances this is a relatively harmless idea if you are talking about a group of middle school children who fail to follow the instructions of their English teacher—at worst you might get a bunch of kids who can’t write well. However, what happens if the custodians of law in a country start to follow the same maxim? Unfortunately, you might get the Buyat case.

A justice system can fail in many ways. For instance, if a real criminal is not prosecuted or a criminal gets away with a disproportionately lenient sentence. But what happens when you are talking about a justice system that deliberately targeted an innocent man with the single minded determination to basically destroy his life, in this situation you are not talking about a justice system at all. However, this seems to be the situation exemplified by my Dad’s ongoing legal battles in Indonesia.

A friend of mine once said that you start having human rights issues when you stop following the rule of law. In the same tone it becomes pointless to continue talking about scientific facts because they have been made irrelevant in the absence of rule of law. As the Buyat case has proceeded it has truly revealed the personality of the justice system and we find ourselves facing some of these concerns.

Please read the rest of the blog entry at:

http://richardness.org/blog/ruleoflaworlawlessnessofrulers.php

Thanks,
Eric

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: Mining

Possums Killing River Red Gums: A Note from Michael O’Brien

November 9, 2006 By jennifer

Dear Jennifer,

I was reading your blogs criticising the misrepresentation of the facts surrounding the Murray river floodplains and death of river red gums. I own a property on the Murray river floodplains, downstream of Echuca. My property has river red gum wetlands that have quite naturally not recieved any flooding since 1995.

For the last 15 years my red gum wetland and many other red gum wetlands in the region have suffered massive decline in tree health and in some instances all of the trees have been killed. It is changing the look of the landscape and is quite obviously a regional catastrophe.

But what is the cause? Ask any of the experts and they insist it is “drought”, but in my district the average rain for the past 15 years has only been slightly below the long term average and in reality the redgums have probably had as much flooding as they ever did in dry periods.

Death by Possum2blog.JPG

The actual cause of the tree death is something much more cute and cuddly, common brush-tailed possum’s. Brush-tailed possums are abundant in these hollow redgums. At times I have spotted up to 15 mature possums in one tree. Each summer the trees grow a few leaves and then for the remainder of the year the possums strip them clean. The trees can only take about three years of this kind of constant bombardment before they die. From the 200 large trees within my wetland at least 75% have died in the last 10 years, and the remainder are in poor health.

Prior to European settlement in the area, the local Aboriginals heavilly utilized brush-tailed possums for food, clothing etcetera. So much so that one of the early pastoralists in the area referred to them as the “possum-eaters”.

As an experiment I possum guarded a number of random trees last November.

The following photograph I took this morning of one of the possum- guarded trees. The trees in the photograph were all in similar health at the time of guarding last November.

Possum attack is a widespread problem in the Murray flood plains now that possums are unable to be utilized and managed, and probably explains a lot of the premature death of red gums that people are witnessing in this natural dry period.

Regards,
Michael O’Brien

******

Note from Jeff Yugovic, added 13th December, 2015

“Although my work is widely accepted by the general public and many practical conservationists, I am being ignored by academia and am regarded as a heretic by some ratbag ‘conservationists’.

My discussion paper is online and is updated periodically:

http://www.spiffa.org/do-ecosystems-need-top-predators.html ”

This paper quotes the above blog post.

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: Drought, Forestry, Murray River

Who’s “Utterly Wrong” on The Murray?

November 9, 2006 By jennifer

In the December 2004 issue of Quadrant magazine I had an article published entitled ‘Why Save the Murray’. It began:

“I WAS SURPRISED when I learned that the Australian [newspaper] was running a “Saving the Murray” campaign. I realised that journalists often fail in their quest for the truth, but I assumed that they at least subscribed to the ideal. Campaigning – organised action to achieve a particular end – is the antithesis of honest reporting.

Environmentalism is now big business and big politics. It would therefore seem important that journalists at our national daily newspaper scrutinise the actions and the media releases from politicians, environmental activists and the growing industry and research lobby, particularly on an issue as important as the Murray River. Yet they were running a campaign.”

In the piece I went on to document the campaign, and how much of what the newspaper writes on the River is propaganda rather than news or considered opinion.

I knew it was a bad career move, so to speak, taking on the nation’s daily newspaper. But gee their editorial today, entitled ‘Weighing up Water‘ is a bit mean:

“IN 2001, The Australian launched a campaign to save the ailing Murray River. In daily reports during a 2200km journey along the nation’s mightiest waterway from Albury to its mouth at the Coorong, this newspaper’s Amanda Hodge catalogued its precarious plight as a result of salination, over-irrigation, and pollution…
The Australian’s Murray campaign was challenged by the conservative Institute of Public Affairs, which released a report showing the river’s condition had not deteriorated in 15 years. They were utterly wrong. Five years after Hodge’s journey and faced with the looming reality that the present drought may see the Murray run dry, John Howard and the premiers of the four southeastern states have finally agreed on a plan to overhaul the nation’s water management by fast-tracking both a system of interstate trading of water entitlements and water conservation projects.”

No. My report ‘ Myth and the Murray: Measuring the Real State of the River Environment’ was factually correct. Furthermore, it didn’t show “no deterioration”. It actually documented improvement!

In the report I also explained that while it is generally believed that irrigation diversions leave too little water in the river. In reality, as a consequence of the building of dams and weirs, the water level in the river is unnaturally high for much of the length of the river, most of the time.

Now in 2006 with record low inflows into the Murray, there is much hand wringing because the river might run dry. If this happens, the consequences will be devastating for many industries. But it won’t necessarily be devastating for the ecology of the river. Australian rivers naturally run dry during drought. What is most unnatural is to continue to push large quantities of water downstream during drought.

We’ll see if the Australian publishes the letter to the editor which I’ve just drafted and sent off now.

—————————
Update 10th November, 2006

My letter was published today in The Australian and is available online:

Facts, not exaggeration

YOUR editorial (“Weighing up water”, 9/11) claims that a report by the Institute of Public Affairs was “utterly wrong” to conclude that the condition of the Murray River had not deteriorated in 15 years. Actually, all the evidence does support the IPA’s findings.

Our 2003 report showed that salt levels had halved at key sites, Murray cod and sliver perch numbers were on the increase and that while there were many stressed red gums in South Australia, forests in NSW and Victoria were generally healthy and supported large populations of water birds.

The report also explained that it’s generally believed that irrigation diversions leave too little water in the river. In reality, as a consequence of the building of dams and weirs, the water level in the river was unnaturally high for much of the length of the river, most of the time.

Now, in 2006, with record low inflows into the Murray, there is much hand-wringing because the river might run dry. If this happens, the consequences will be devastating for many industries. But it won’t necessarily be devastating for the ecology of the river. Australian rivers naturally run dry during drought. What is most unnatural is to continue to push large quantities of water downstream during drought.

Sensible water policy needs to be based on facts, not exaggeration.

Dr Jennifer Marohasy
Senior fellow, Institute of Public Affairs
Melbourne

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: Murray River, Water

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Jennifer Marohasy Jennifer Marohasy BSc PhD has worked in industry and government. She is currently researching a novel technique for long-range weather forecasting funded by the B. Macfie Family Foundation. Read more

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To get in touch with Jennifer call 0418873222 or international call +61418873222.

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