Jennifer Marohasy

a forum for the discussion of issues concerning the natural environment

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Licola Flood: A Note from Ralph Barraclough

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Late last year there were terrible bushfires across north eastern Victoria. Max Rheese sent us a note suggesting there was a need for more prescribed burning.

Now there is isolated flooding.

Following is a note and some photographs from Ralph Barraclough a landholder and a fire brigade captain with land adjacent and surrounded by the Alpine National Park (pdf file). The National Park contains many nationally significant species including the Bogong Daisy-bush, Mountain Pygmy Possum, Broad-toothed Rat and Alpine Water Skink. Large areas of the park burnt in 2003 and again in December last year.

Greetings,

Well after saving nearly everything when we were burnt out at Licola on December 14 last year, we are now being flooded out.

The damage here is so bad my house would not have a hope in hell of surviving a similar flood again. The debris is nearly as high as the spoutings and the previous biggest flood hight never even got to the footings after 36mm of rain in 20 minutes. This flood was from 28mm in 45 minutes.

Licola_Target Ck 6pm Fri23Feb07 compressed.JPG
Target Creek, Friday night 6pm

The first the locals knew I was in trouble was when 3km away at Licola they saw my worldly posesions floating down the local river. They are collecting my equipment 50km downstream. I live on a small creek that is a tributory.

The flood through my house was so intense it washed a Land Rover engine block out of my shed into the garden. The floor boards came up from the water underneath and tipped over all the stuff I had stored on chaires and stools to try and be above the flood waters. Industrial sewing machines were washed down along the creek.

I nearley drowned trying to get a Land Rover out of a shed when a tidel wave pushed me back in. There was so much debris floating around I had great difficulty remaining upright.

I am expecting more floods like this and this is nowhere like the worst case scenario. The country is just so burnt there is nothing to slow the water from getting into streams. Things are so bad here I will be salvaging as much as possible from my house and taking it to higher ground than Noah would consider drowning. Last week flooding wrecked a building site replacing a lost house from the fire. The new house suffered serious structural damege, a site hut was utterly flattened and a caravan ended up on a meter of debris.

Licola itself was also flooded out. The shop had water through it, all up 2 houses and the living area of the shop may have to be rebuilt. We have had tremendous help from the SES, Police and Wellington Shire and some of the local dear hunters. The CFA has offered very welcome support.

My files from the last 9 years of trying to https://cialico.com stop these things from happening were all removed from the house only hours before the flood and survive.

Regards,
Ralph Barraclough
Lincola, Victoria

LicolaFlood_Target Ck 10am Sat24Feb07 compressed.JPG
Target Creek, Saturday morning 10am

Licola Jamieson Rd Sat24Feb07 AM compressed.JPG
Jamieson Road, Saturday morning

Why Environmental Scientists Can’t Predict the Future: A New Book

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There was a book review in The New York Times last week by Cornelia Dean which began:

“When coastal engineers decide whether to dredge sand and pump it onto an eroded beach, they use mathematical models to predict how much sand they will need, when and where they must apply it, the rate it will move and how long the project will survive in the face of coastal storms and erosion.

Orrin H. Pilkey, a coastal geologist and emeritus professor at Duke, recommends another approach: just dredge up a lot of sand and dump it on the beach willy-nilly. This “kamikaze engineering” might not last very long, he says, but projects built according to models do not usually last very long either, and at least his approach would not lull anyone into false mathematical certitude.

Now Dr. Pilkey and his daughter Linda Pilkey-Jarvis, a geologist in the Washington State Department of Geology, have expanded this view into an overall attack on the use of computer programs to model nature. Nature is too complex, they say, and depends on too many processes that are poorly understood or little monitored — whether the process is the feedback effects of cloud cover on global warming or the movement of grains of sand on a beach…

Read the complete article entitled ‘The Problems in Modeling Nature, With Its Unruly Natural Tendencies’
here: http://www.nytimes.com/2007/02/20/science/20book.html?_r=3&ref=science&a&oref=slogin

You can buy the book entitled ‘Useless Arithemetic: Why Environmental Scientists Can’t Predict the Future’ at Amazon.com

GM Chickens for Therapeutic Drugs: A Note from Paul Williams

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Hi Jennifer,

There has been quite a lot of discussion about Genetically Modified (GM) organisms related to vegetable products, but I wonder if readers are aware that GM, or transgenic animals are also a subject of study.

Here is a link to an article that describes the production of transgenic hens which can produce eggs containing therapeutic protein based drugs:

“We describe the generation of transgenic chickens that synthesize functional recombinant therapeutic protein specifically in the oviduct of laying hens as a component of egg white.”

Translation: How we bred GM chickens that produce eggs containing therapeutic drugs.

http://www.pubmedcentral.nih.gov/articlerender.fcgi?artid=1783527

I wonder if people who oppose GM crops also oppose this type of research?

Regards,
Paul Williams
Mt Baker, South Australia

Whaling Mother Ship Being Repaired: A Note from Glenn Inwood

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I emailed Glenn Inwood yesterday. He is a spokesman for the Japanese whalers in the Antarctic whose mother ship the Nisshin Maru had to be evacuated last week after a fire broke out.

Greenpeace has been concerned the stricken ship could end up an ecological disaster with 1.3 million litres of fuel potentially leaking into the ocean.

I asked Mr Inwood for an update on the situation and he emailed me this morning:

Dear Jennifer,

Over the week, the crew first dealt with electrical and mechanical checks, replacing wiring that was burnt out, getting the engines going. The engines are apparently in good shape, able to function and ready to go.

After that, they looked at navigational and safety aspects of the vessel, such as checking the two radars, rudder control, autopilot navigation, etcetera.

As of yesterday, I understand they were unfreezing pipes, getting the desalinator going, getting freshwater back into the system, and cleaning out living quarters that were flooded from fighting the fire.

We have benefited from excellently calm Antarctic weather. As we have assured media, if conditions deteriorate and the vessel needs to be moved from where she is, then of course that will be done. While they were repairing engine, etcetera, they also hooked up a tow just in case it was required.

The crew has worked day and night tirelessly to get the vessel ready for sailing. It’s been a very trying time for them. Not only have they lost a colleague, they are receiving those reports from Greenpeace and Chris Carter and that’s making it more difficult for them. I hope to have good news for you soon.

Best regards,
Glenn Inwood

According to Radio New Zealand the ship was moving under its own power this afternoon taking a short test run.

Less Carbon, Less Kenyan Produce for Tesco

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Flying airplanes generates a lot of greenhouse gas emissions. So, according to the global warming doomsayers we should endeavor to fly less. Indeed according to a recent article at Grist.org the Bishop of London has proclaimed that it is a sin to fly on holidays.

British supermarket chain Tesco has extended the logic to food. That is it’s going to restrict the importation of air freighted goods by half and introduce a system of carbon counting labeling.

Al Gore should approve.

But farmers in Kenya who have developed produce to meet Tesco’s previous environmental requirements are not so sure.

“What is global warming?”, asks Samuel Mauthike, a small scale vegetable farmer in Kenya.

“Is it something caused by us in Africa?”

According to same story at BBC News, Kenyan Jane Ngige has commented, “One minute we are talking about fair trade and market compliance, the next this is less of an issue and the issue is lessening the carbon footprint of the developed world possibly by cutting markets in Africa”.

Ah, the fickle nature of modern environmentalism!

New Open Renewable Not-For-Profit Energy Project: A Note from Robert Rohatensky

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Hi Jennifer,

We are involved in a not-for-profit project to develop a system for clean, location independent and renewable electrical power generation that can be built from common materials.

The system design of the project is being managed in a not-for-profit and open manner and applies the same methodologies and principles that have made Linux and other Open Source Software projects such a success.

The information is presented here: http://www.energytower.org
We have some initial electrical and thermal output calculations of the system for various locations here:
http://www.energytower.org/index.html#Calculations

I believe that this project will create an implementable, economical, reliable and serviceable system. Although the entire project is being managed in a not-for-profit manner, the intent is to work with business.
The detailed design, manufacture of the sub-assemblies, construction, system operation and integration with existing operations and waste heat sources can have large economic benefits for the entire economy.

Sincerely,
Robert J. Rohatensky
Regina, Canada