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Jennifer Marohasy

Jennifer Marohasy

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jennifer

Ice Shelf Collapses with Crikey’s Credibility

March 26, 2008 By jennifer

There is an Australian e-journal that is popular with many government-types called crikey.com.au. Today the lead story began,

“A chunk of ice seven times the size of Manhattan (as big as the Isle of Man if you prefer a more Anglo-centric news source) is hanging by a thread to the main, still-frozen body of the western Antarctic. Satellite images are showing the rapid disintegration of a 41km x 2.5km ice chunk, a part of the Wilkins Ice Shelf that has been there for hundreds, maybe 1,500 years. It is happening, the scientific consensus seems to be, because the seas are getting warmer. It’s that greenhouse thing.

So, what to do? Blame China? No, we need to take individual responsibility. Wait on the Garnaut report? No, too little too late. We must act now … of course! Let’s turn some lights off on Saturday. For an hour. That’ll fix it. Meanwhile, click on the image below to watch a video of what Earth Hour is up against.” [end of quote]

Anyway, that’s about as clever as it gets even from the so-called alternative media and the story is much the same in The Australian.

Then of course there are the blogs, including some which actually provide data and background information to put the collapse of the icesheet in some context:

“In reality it and all the former shelves that collapsed are small and most near the Antarctic peninsula which sticks well out from Antarctica into the currents and winds of the South Atlantic and lies in a tectonically active region with surface and subsurface active volcanic activity. The vast continent has actually cooled since 1979…

“The full Wilkins 6,000 square mile ice shelf is just 0.39% of the current ice sheet (just 0.1% of the extent last September). Only a small portion of it between 1/10th-1/20th of Wilkins has separated so far, like an icicle falling off a snow and ice covered house. And this winter is coming on quickly. In fact the ice is returning so fast, it is running an amazing 60% ahead (4.0 vs 2.5 million square km extent) of last year when it set a new record. The ice extent is already approaching the second highest level for extent since the measurements began by satellite in 1979 and just a few days into the Southern Hemisphere winter and 6 months ahead of the peak. Wilkins like all the others that temporarily broke up will refreeze soon. We are very likely going to exceed last year’s record. Yet the world is left with the false impression Antarctica’s ice sheet is also starting to disappear.”

Read the complete blog post and check out meteorologist Joseph D’Aleo graphs at http://icecap.us/index.php/go/political-climate.

Then there is more information from Anthony Watt’s:

http://wattsupwiththat.wordpress.com/2008/01/22/surprise-theres-an-active-volcano-under-antarctic-ice/

Map of volcanoes in Antarctica
http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2008/01/antarcticvolcanoes2.jpg

This image is from NASA, and shows areas with greatest warming in Antarctica are near the peninsula and pacific ring of fire groups of volcanoes:
http://veimages.gsfc.nasa.gov//17529/antarctic_temps.AVH1982-2004.jpg

here is the original article
http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Newsroom/NewImages/images.php3?img_id=17257

But now look at what Wikipedia has done to it:
http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Image:Antarctic_temps.AVH1982-2004.jpg

They say ” they image is misleading…visit the discussion page”…okey dokey, http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Image_talk:Antarctic_temps.AVH1982-2004.jpg
and on that page they say “use alternative image” (GISS maps) instead which is this:

http://data.giss.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/gistemp/do_nmap.py?year_last=2007&month_last=09&sat=4&sst=1&type=trends&mean_gen=1212&year1=1951&year2=2004&base1=1951&base2=2006&radius=1200&pol=pol

And it STILL shows a big red area over the ataractic peninsula where volcanism is the strongest.
[end of quote from Anthony].

Thank goodness for the internet.

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: Climate & Climate Change

Coral Re-growth on the Great Barrier Reef: A Note from Bob Halstead

March 25, 2008 By jennifer

In July 2002 I was helping teach an underwater photography course for students at James Cook University. Day trips to the outer barrier were organised from Port Douglas. On the reef I mostly saw dead coral smothered with rafts of brown algae, and struggled to find any living invertebrates for the students to photograph. It was depressing.

However, in October 2007 I made a live-aboard cruise up the reef, and a day trip out of Cairns, which cheered me up enormously. All along the outer reef there were dramatic signs of coral regeneration. There were reefs covered with small plate corals of various species, and other corals, which looked, from my experience in Papua New Guinea, to be of the order of 1-3 years growth. Here are some of the photographs I took.

BobHalstead_GBR 07001 blog2.jpg
http://www.halsteaddiving.com/

Bob Halstead_GBR 07002 blog2.jpg
http://www.halsteaddiving.com/

Bob Halstead_GBR 07003 blog2.jpg
http://www.halsteaddiving.com/

bob Halstead_GBR 07004 blog2.jpg
http://www.halsteaddiving.com/

Bob Halstead_GBR 07005 blog2.jpg
http://www.halsteaddiving.com/

Bob Halstead_GBR 07006.jpg
http://www.halsteaddiving.com/

Bob Halstead
http://www.halsteaddiving.com/

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: Coral Reefs

Letter to The Editor: Ban Night-Time Sport

March 25, 2008 By jennifer

I have agreed to publish ‘Letters to The Editor’ that fail to make the mainstream newspapers. The following contribution from Art Raiche appears to have been overlooked by both the Sydney Morning Herald and The Australian:

Dear Sir,

Australia’s CO2 output is insignificant compared with that of the rest of the world. We could shut down all our industry, ban the burning of all fossil fuels and reduce ourselves to lives as hunter-gatherers and it would not make one whit of difference to climate change either here or anywhere else in the world.

Why should we initiate measures that will see jobs exported to countries that have no intention of putting serious emission controls in place? It is often said that we are amongst the highest producers of CO2 per capita. That may be but why should Australians be punished because we haven’t let our population get out of control?

Earth hour is being touted as a wonderful symbolic gesture. It is a gesture that may make the self-flagellants feel good but the earth’s climate system is not affected by symbolic gestures. If we were serious about such measures, we would ban night-time sport. The “environmental message” rock concerts would be less hypocritical were they to ban electronic instruments and amplification and ban admission to those who came by private cars.

There has been life on earth for more that three billion years. Homo sapiens has existed less than a quarter of a million years. We do not need to “save the planet” because it will be here long after we become extinct. We do not need to hasten our extinction as a prosperous nation because of mass hysteria generated by a misunderstanding of the earth’s climate system.

Art Raiche
[address supplied but withheld]

Filed Under: Uncategorized

Climate Facts to Warm To (Part 2)

March 25, 2008 By jennifer

I did a radio interview commenting on global temperatures and weather patterns last Monday which was picked up by The Australian, then the blogosphere and now Fox News.

Some people have asked me for clarification on a few points including what the head of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has said by way of the ‘temperature plateau this century’ and also have asked for more information on my qualifications.

Let’s start by re-looking at the available temperature data, as at least one blogger, Ken Parish, seems to not understand this data.

1. Are temperatures really cooling?

Over very long time periods (thousands of years) the earth experiences cycles of warming and cooling – indeed climate is always changing. The earth is currently in what is known as an interglacial warm period with temperatures warming, and sea levels rising by about 100 metres, during the last 16,000 years.

But there have been ups and downs. For example, there was cooling for several hundred years after the medieval warm period through to about 1900. Then there was warming until about 1945 followed by cooling through until 1975-76. The United Nation’s IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) predicted in 1990 that there would be continuous warming well into this century driven by rising levels of carbon dioxide. But in fact there has been cooling again over the last decade.

Just two years ago, the Hadley Centre in the United Kingdom predicted that 2007 would be a record warm year – exceeding 1998 – but it turned out to be rather cool.

UAH_LT_with_IPCC_projections_small.jpg
from http://www.weatherquestions.com/Roy-Spencer-on-global-warming.htm

So to summarize, as I said in the radio interview: if you take 1998 as your point of reference there has been cooling, if you take 2002 as your point of reference there has been a temperature plateau. I also said in the interview that temperatures may start to rise again, or the earth could be about to enter another period of prolonged cooling – we could even be at the end of the current interglacial warm period.

2. What did the Head of the IPCC say?

According to an interview in January 2008 by Reuters:

“Rajendra Pachauri, the head of the U.N. Panel that shared the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize with former U.S. Vice President Al Gore, said he would look into the apparent temperature plateau so far this century.

“One would really have to see on the basis of some analysis what this really represents,” he told Reuters, adding “are there natural factors compensating?” for increases in greenhouse gases from human activities.

“He added that skeptics about a human role in climate change delighted in hints that temperatures might not be rising. “There are some people who would want to find every single excuse to say that this is all hogwash,” he said.

“[Amir] Delju, [senior scientific coordinator of the World Meteorological Organization’s (WMO) climate program,] said temperatures would have to be flat for several more years before a lack of new record years became significant.” [end of quote from Reuters]

3. Who is Jennifer Marohasy?

I have a Batchelor of Science and a PhD from the University of Queensland – my thesis was in insect ecology. I worked as a field biologist for many years and then in the late 1980s started critiquing environmental campaigns while I was environment manager for Canegrowers – I was concerned, in particular, that the World Wild Fund for Nature (WWF) was falsely suggesting science supported various unproven allegations relating to farming and the Great Barrier Reef. I then worked on Murray River water issues, again comparing allegations from environmentalists with the official statistics. I was forced to take an interest in global warming when Professor Tim Flannery made various public statements suggesting that the drought which gripped southern Australia for much of this century was unlikely to ever break because of carbon dioxide emissions. The issue of climate change now dominates much of the discussion at this weblog.

I have applied my training in the scientific method to understanding this issue. In particular I am only interested in the data – not what may or may not motivate commentary. Furthermore I am much more interested in observational data, rather than modelled output.

There are some people who may feel I am unqualified to comment in the area of climatology because my thesis topic was in ecology, however, much of my work for many years has simply been about understanding raw data/numbers and communicating this information in an honest and meaningful way – a PhD in a science discipline is a good formal training for this. I now describe myself as a biologist and a writer. Perhaps I could be best described as a science writer – but I have no formal training as a journalist, my training is as a scientist.

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: Climate & Climate Change

Climate Facts to Warm To

March 23, 2008 By jennifer

There is a nice piece in The Australian this weekend by Christopher Pearson. He writes:

“Catastrophic predictions of global warming usually conjure with the notion of a tipping point, a point of no return.

Last Monday – on ABC Radio National, of all places – there was a tipping point of a different kind in the debate on climate change. It was a remarkable interview involving the co-host of Counterpoint, Michael Duffy and Jennifer Marohasy, a biologist and senior fellow of Melbourne-based think tank the Institute of Public Affairs. Anyone in public life who takes a position on the greenhouse gas hypothesis will ignore it at their peril.
Duffy asked Marohasy: “Is the Earth stillwarming?”

She replied: “No, actually, there has been cooling, if you take 1998 as your point of reference. If you take 2002 as your point of reference, then temperatures have plateaued. This is certainly not what you’d expect if carbon dioxide is driving temperature because carbon dioxide levels have been increasing but temperatures have actually been coming down over the last 10 years.”

Duffy: “Is this a matter of any controversy?”

Marohasy: “Actually, no. The head of the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) has actually acknowledged it. He talks about the apparent plateau in temperatures so far this century. So he recognises that in this century, over the past eight years, temperatures have plateaued … This is not what you’d expect, as I said, because if carbon dioxide is driving temperature then you’d expect that, given carbon dioxide levels have been continuing to increase, temperatures should be going up … So (it’s) very unexpected, not something that’s being discussed. It should be being discussed, though, because it’s very significant.”

Duffy: “It’s not only that it’s not discussed. We never hear it, do we? Whenever there’s any sort of weather event that can be linked into the global warming orthodoxy, it’s put on the front page. But a fact like that, which is that global warming stopped a decade ago, is virtually never reported, which is extraordinary.”

Duffy then turned to the question of how the proponents of the greenhouse gas hypothesis deal with data that doesn’t support their case. “People like Kevin Rudd and Ross Garnaut are speaking as though the Earth is still warming at an alarming rate, but what is the argument from the other side? What would people associated with the IPCC say to explain the (temperature) dip?”

Marohasy: “Well, the head of the IPCC has suggested natural factors are compensating for the increasing carbon dioxide levels and I guess, to some extent, that’s what sceptics have been saying for some time: that, yes, carbon dioxide will give you some warming but there are a whole lot of other factors that may compensate or that may augment the warming from elevated levels of carbon dioxide.

“There’s been a lot of talk about the impact of the sun and that maybe we’re going to go through or are entering a period of less intense solar activity and this could be contributing to the current cooling.”

Duffy: “Can you tell us about NASA’s Aqua satellite, because I understand some of the data we’re now getting is quite important in our understanding of how climate works?”

Marohasy: “That’s right. The satellite was only launched in 2002 and it enabled the collection of data, not just on temperature but also on cloud formation and water vapour. What all the climate models suggest is that, when you’ve got warming from additional carbon dioxide, this will result in increased water vapour, so you’re going to get a positive feedback. That’s what the models have been indicating. What this great data from the NASA Aqua satellite … (is) actually showing is just the opposite, that with a little bit of warming, weather processes are compensating, so they’re actually limiting the greenhouse effect and you’re getting a negative rather than a positive feedback.”

Duffy: “The climate is actually, in one way anyway, more robust than was assumed in the climate models?”

Marohasy: “That’s right … These findings actually aren’t being disputed by the meteorological community. They’re having trouble digesting the findings, they’re acknowledging the findings, they’re acknowledging that the data from NASA’s Aqua satellite is not how the models predict, and I think they’re about to recognise that the models really do need to be overhauled and that when they are overhauled they will probably show greatly reduced future warming projected as a consequence of carbon dioxide.”

Duffy: “From what you’re saying, it sounds like the implications of this could beconsiderable …”

Marohasy: “That’s right, very much so. The policy implications are enormous. The meteorological community at the moment is really just coming to terms with the output from this NASA Aqua satellite and (climate scientist) Roy Spencer’s interpretation of them. His work is published, his work is accepted, but I think people are still in shock at this point.”

If Marohasy is anywhere near right about the impending collapse of the global warming paradigm, life will suddenly become a whole lot more interesting.

A great many founts of authority, from the Royal Society to the UN, most heads of government along with countless captains of industry, learned professors, commentators and journalists will be profoundly embarrassed. Let us hope it is a prolonged and chastening experience.

With catastrophe off the agenda, for most people the fog of millennial gloom will lift, at least until attention turns to the prospect of the next ice age. Among the better educated, the sceptical cast of mind that is the basis of empiricism will once again be back in fashion. The delusion that by recycling and catching public transport we can help save the planet will quickly come to be seen for the childish nonsense it was all along.

The poorest Indians and Chinese will be left in peace to work their way towards prosperity, without being badgered about the size of their carbon footprint, a concept that for most of us will soon be one with Nineveh and Tyre, clean forgotten in six months.

The scores of town planners in Australia building empires out of regulating what can and can’t be built on low-lying shorelines will have to come to terms with the fact inundation no longer impends and find something more plausible to do. The same is true of the bureaucrats planning to accommodate “climate refugees”.

Penny Wong’s climate mega-portfolio will suddenly be as ephemeral as the ministries for the year 2000 that state governments used to entrust to junior ministers. Malcolm Turnbull will have to reinvent himself at vast speed as a climate change sceptic and the Prime Minister will have to kiss goodbye what he likes to call the great moral issue and policy challenge of our times.

It will all be vastly entertaining to watch.

THE Age published an essay with an environmental theme by Ian McEwan on March 8 and its stablemate, The Sydney Morning Herald, also carried a slightly longer version of the same piece.

The Australian’s Cut & Paste column two days later reproduced a telling paragraph from the Herald’s version, which suggested that McEwan was a climate change sceptic and which The Age had excised. He was expanding on the proposition that “we need not only reliable data but their expression in the rigorous use of statistics”.

What The Age decided to spare its readers was the following: “Well-meaning intellectual movements, from communism to post-structuralism, have a poor history of absorbing inconvenient fact or challenges to fundamental precepts. We should not ignore or suppress good indicators on the environment, though they have become extremely rare now. It is tempting to the layman to embrace with enthusiasm the latest bleak scenario because it fits the darkness of our soul, the prevailing cultural pessimism. The imagination, as Wallace Stevens once said, is always at the end of an era. But we should be asking, or expecting others to ask, for the provenance of the data, the assumptions fed into the computer model, the response of the peer review community, and so on. Pessimism is intellectually delicious, even thrilling, but the matter before us is too serious for mere self-pleasuring. It would be self-defeating if the environmental movement degenerated into a religion of gloomy faith. (Faith, ungrounded certainty, is no virtue.)”

The missing sentences do not appear anywhere else in The Age’s version of the essay. The attribution reads: “Copyright Ian McEwan 2008” and there is no acknowledgment of editing by The Age.

Why did the paper decide to offer its readers McEwan lite? Was he, I wonder, consulted on the matter? And isn’t there a nice irony that The Age chose to delete the line about ideologues not being very good at “absorbing inconvenient fact”?

[End of article]

It has made a bit of a splash in the blogshere:

Global Warming: Man Made or Just Another Weather Cycle?
Someone really needs to call Al Gore about this–and maybe the Nobel Peace Prize selection committee. From The Australian:
http://redstateeclectic.typepad.com/redstate_commentary/2008/03/global-warming.html

Many of the following blog links were found here:
http://tailrank.com/5510155/Climate-facts-to-warm-to

Untitled
instapundit.com
ENJOYING SPRINGTIME IN MINNESOTA: It’s sunny and warm here. UPDATE: But if you believe this, I could be chilly in the future: “No, actually, there has been cooling, if you take 1998 as your point of reference. If you take 2002 as your point of reference, then temperatures have plateaued. This is certainly not what you’d expect if carbon dioxide is driving temperature because carbon dioxide levels have been increasing but temperatures have actually been coming down over the last 10 years.”
http://instapundit.com/archives2/016796.php

Negative Feedback Limits Global Warming
deanesmay.com
Great little essay via Glenn : Marohasy: “That’s right. The satellite was only launched in 2002 and it enabled the collection of data, not just on temperature but also on cloud formation and water vapour. What all the climate models suggest is that, when you’ve got warming from additional carbon dioxide, this will result in increased water vapour, so you’re going to get a positive feedback. That’s what the models have been indicating. What this great data from the NASA Aqua satellite … (is) actually showing is just the opposite, that with a little bit of warming, weather processes are compensating, so they’re actually limiting the greenhouse effect and you’re getting a negative rather than a positive feedback.
http://www.deanesmay.com/2008/03/22/negative-feedback-limits-global-warming/

Global Warming Ended Ten Years Ago
newsbusters.org
Despite the more hysterical predictions we’ve heard of late, the evidence continues to mount that if the earth was warming, it stopped quite some time ago .
http://jammiewearingfool.blogspot.com/2008/03/inconvenient-truth-global-warming-ended.html

“Climate facts to warm to”
soundpolitics.com
Global warming is usually Stefan’s beat, but this article is worth a read because it does so much to spell out the rational case for skeptics. Not necessarily of the notion that the Earth has recently experienced a period of warming, but skepticism of the notion that man is to blame, it’s all because of carbon dioxide, and the only rational course is too hamstring the economy through onerous public policies to address that narrow paradigm. To summarize the article, relying in significant part on information not disputed by the liberally acclaimed IPCC:
http://soundpolitics.com/archives/010417.html

Has the climate stopped warming?
tigerhawk.blogspot.com
Regular readers know that while I accept that greenhouse gases can, at the margin, warm the Earth’s climate, I am also skeptical that intensive regulation of greenhouse gases is necessary to avoid global catastrophe. Against that backdrop, I am justly accused of preferentially linking to articles and stories that suggest that cataclysm is neither visible nor predictable. So: the latest story that wonders whether the planet’s climate has stopped warming and possible explanations therefor.
http://tigerhawk.blogspot.com/2008/03/has-climate-stopped-warming.html

Climate facts to warm to
uncommondescent.com
Read more Climate facts to warm to

Global Scamming
lewrockwell.com
Global warming, such as it was, stopped ten years ago. (Thanks to Heidi Wyss.)

No More Global Warming
strata-sphere.com
Just a reminder as we all wait for Spring to actually ‘sprung’ that from the high average temperature of 1998 to ten years later the Earth’s climate has cooled or plateaued. And don’t take my word for it (though there is no reason why you shouldn’t). Here is some interesting news on Global Warming (or the lack therein) Last Monday – on ABC Radio National, of all places – there was a tipping point of a different kind in the debate on climate change. It was a remarkable interview involving the co-host of Counterpoint, Michael Duffy and Jennifer Marohasy, a biologist and senior fellow of Melbourne-based think tank the Institute of Public Affairs.

Untitled
antigreen.blogspot.com
Source

Collapse of the global warming paradigm
blog.freeny.org
“A great many founts of authority, from the Royal Society to the UN, most heads of government along with countless captains of industry, learned professors, commentators and journalists will be profoundly embarrassed. Let us hope it is a prolonged and chastening experience.” Read Climate facts to warm to
http://blog.freeny.org/?p=3103

Untitled
australian-politics.blogspot.com
Source
Blue Crab Boulevard
bluecrabboulevard.com Found 5 hours ago
Because the earth is not, in fact, warming, despite increased carbon emissions . Last Monday – on ABC Radio National, of all places – there was a tipping point of a different kind in the debate on climate change. It was a remarkable interview involving the co-host of Counterpoint, Michael Duffy and Jennifer Marohasy, a biologist and senior fellow of Melbourne-based think tank the Institute of Public Affairs.
http://bluecrabboulevard.com/2008/03/22/global-warming-er-never-mind/

Inconvenient Truth: Global Warming Ended Ten Years Ago
jammiewearingfool.blogspot.com
Despite the more hysterical predictions we’ve heard of late, the evidence continues to mount that if the earth was warming, it stopped quite some time ago .

New Age Rain
seablogger.com Found 19 hours ago
It’s raining with the kind of delirious thoroughness that one only sees in the tropics. This is the fourth major rain in the last six weeks, and the unseasonal recharge of the aquifers is most welcome. Still, along with the warmth of this winter, the rains seem to me a portent of more troublesome weather in the summer. Global warming is not required for an active hurricane season. In fact warming had already ceased during the busy years of 2004-5. I am pleased to see the facts getting more circulation, but it will take some time to wring the hysteria out of the media and the global elite — John McCain included.

Oh My Gosh, Were We Wrong About Climate Change?
kneedeepintheephemera.blogspot.com
Climate facts to warm to ,
http://kneedeepintheephemera.blogspot.com/2008/03/oh-my-gosh-were-we-wrong-about-climate.html

THE SATELLITE LOOKS DOWN..
atangledweb.squarespace.com
Fascinating article here on global warming, or the lack of it …it’s from an interview between journalist Michael Duffy and Jennifer Marohasy, a biologist and senior fellow of Melbourne-based think tank the Institute of Public Affairs Duffy: “Can you tell us about NASA’s Aqua satellite , because I understand some of the data we’re now getting is quite important in our understanding of how climate works?” Marohasy: “That’s right. The satellite was only launched in 2002 and it enabled the collection of data, not just on temperature but also on cloud formation and water vapour.

PT’s Parking Blog
parkingtoday.typepad.com
I know, I know, it has little to do with parking, but I just couldn’t pass this up. You MUST read this article in the Australian. Basically is quotes a scientist, using UN and NASA data, as showing that global warming stopped in 1998 and in fact Global Cooling is now going on. HUH… This goes along with my theory that if politicians say something, believe the opposite. If this is true, what is the industry set up because of Global Warming going to do? What of carbon footprints or the SUV demise.

Northern hemisphere warming alarmingly
maggiesfarm.anotherdotcom.com
The snow and ice are melting fast. Spring must be here! It’s the time of year when the rich and famous seek riches from alarmism. My friends and I were starting up a company to sell palm trees to the Eskimos, but unfortunately recent satellite data indicate that warming stopped a decade ago . Dang! Our investment is OK though – we shorted Palm Tree Futures as a hedge, and might get filthy rich with those. Plus the government will pay us handsomely not to grow Palms on our experimental Massachusetts Palm farm.

“Global Warming” Must Read of the Day
targetrichenvironment.net
Earlier I posted about Little Cesar worrying about not being able to do his science project on “global warming” because he’s worried that Philadelphia will cut off his free wireless internet. It seems he won’t have to worry quite so much about it now. If you read the dialogue at the beginning, this is priceless ( link ): If Marohasy is anywhere near right about the impending collapse of the global warming paradigm, life will suddenly become a whole lot more interesting. A great many founts of authority, from the Royal Society to the UN, most heads of government along with countless captains of industry, learned professors, commentators and journalists will be profoundly embarrassed.

Proponents Running for Cover as NASA Satellite Data Destroy Faulty Climate Models Used
managersrealm.com Found 10 hours ago
Co-host of Counterpoint Michael Duffy, recently interviewed Jennifer Marohasy, who is a “biologist and senior fellow of Melbourne-based think tank the Institute of Public Affairs.” The interview took place on ABC Radio National. When Duffy asked Marohasy: “Is the Earth still warming?” Her response was: “No, actually, there has been cooling, if you take 1998 as your point of reference. If you take 2002 as your point of reference, then temperatures have plateaued. This is certainly not what you’d expect if carbon dioxide is driving temperature because carbon dioxide levels have been increasing but temperatures have actually been coming down over the last 10 years.

Warming Ended A Decade Ago
oblogatoryanecdotes.com
Climate facts to warm to

Should Al Gore return his Nobel?
outrage.typepad.com Found 7 hours ago
Link: Climate facts to warm to | The Australian . CATASTROPHIC predictions of global warming usually conjure with the notion of a tipping point, a point of no return. Last Monday – on ABC Radio National, of all places – there was a tipping point of a different kind in the debate on climate change. It was a remarkable interview involving the co-host of Counterpoint, Michael Duffy and Jennifer Marohasy, a biologist and senior fellow of Melbourne-based think tank the Institute of Public Affairs.

Climate facts to warm to
moneyrunner.blogspot.com Found 6 hours ago
Climate facts to warm to: The Earth is Cooling
Gulf Coast Hurricane Tracker
gulf-coast-hurricanes.blogspot.com Found 6 hours ago
Is the Earth still warming?

Interesting new data on the global climate
eclipseweb.blogspot.com Found 6 hours ago
From

The Limits of Our Knowledge
pinotblogger.com Found 6 hours ago
And then today I stumbled across this , from an ABC Radio interview with an Australian biologist named Jennifer Marohasy: Duffy (the interviewer): “Is the Earth still warming?” Marohasy (the biologist): “No, actually, there has been cooling, if you take 1998 as your point of reference. If you take 2002 as your point of reference, then temperatures have plateaued.

LIBERALISM IS A SICKNESS, CONSERVATISM IS THE CURE
theillustratedconservative.blogspot.com Found 6 hours ago
With catastrophe off the agenda, for most people the fog of millennial gloom will lift, at least until attention turns to the prospect of the next ice age. Among the better educated, the sceptical cast of mind that is the basis of empiricism will once again be back in fashion. The delusion that by recycling and catching public transport we can help save the planet will quickly come to be seen for the childish nonsense it was all along.” – The Australian In recent weeks we have seen the foundat

The Joy of the Merely Real
vitalaccuratethinking.blogspot.com Found 6 hours ago
Climate facts to warm to

Climate facts to warm to
lesliesrussell.wordpress.com Found 5 hours ago
Last Monday – on ABC Radio National, of all places – there was a tipping point of a different kind in the debate on climate change. It was a remarkable interview involving the co-host of Counterpoint, Michael Duffy and Jennifer Marohasy, a biologist and senior fellow of Melbourne-based think tank the Institute of Public Affairs. Anyone in public life who takes a position on the greenhouse gas hypothesis will ignore it at their peril.Duffy asked Marohasy: “Is the Earth stillwarming?”She replied: “No, actually, there has been cooling, if you take 1998 as your point of reference.

Is the Earth Still Warming
coolmel.typepad.com Found 5 hours ago
I just read this interview with Jennifer Marohasy from The Australian. Marohasy paints a different picture of the Global Warming story. Climate Change skeptics will almost certainly pick up and flaunt this story soon. Hat tip to Uncommon Descent for the link. Here’s an excerpt. “Last Monday – on ABC Radio National, of all places – there was a tipping point of a different kind in the debate on climate change. It was a remarkable interview involving the co-host of Counterpoint, Michael Duffy and Jennifer Marohasy, a biologist and senior fellow of Melbourne-based think tank the Institute of Public Affairs.
Er….

jaycurrie.info-syn.com Found 4 hours ago
“That’s right, very much so. The policy implications are enormous. The meteorological community at the moment is really just coming to terms with the output from this NASA Aqua satellite and (climate scientist) Roy Spencer’s interpretation of them. His work is published, his work is accepted, but I think people are still in shock at this point.

BUT IF HUMANS AREN’T WARMING THE GLOBE… (via Jim Yates):
brothersjuddblog.com Found 41 minutes ago
Climate facts to warm to (Christopher Pearson, March 22, 2008, The Australian)

Bill Clinton Like McCarthy
muskegonpundit.blogspot.com Found 22 hours ago

The BIDINOTTO BLOG
bidinotto.journalspace.com Found 3 days ago
UPDATE , 2/22/08 — Other climate data contradict the global-warming hypothesis. I say “hypothesis” because the more the actual facts accumulate, the greater the temptation to demote it even from the category of “theory.”

Climate facts to warm to
globalwarmingskeptics.info

and http://newsbusters.org/blogs/james-murray/2008/03/22/inconvenient-truth-global-warming-ended-ten-years-ago

Global Cooling Goes Mainstream
poppypundit.wordpress.com
This story has popped up on Drudge and Instapundit. The Australian Broadcasting Company National Radio recently aired an interview with Dr. Jennifer Marohasy , on the subject of global warming. The interviewer, Michael Duffy — not Dr. Marohasy — brought up the question of whether or not the planet is still warming. Marohasy took advantage of the opening to present evidence indicating that the warming trend has actually reversed over the last decade. The interview veered into a discussion of the accuracy of the climate models that have served as the foundation of the current warming hysteria.
http://poppypundit.wordpress.com/2008/03/22/global-cooling-goes-mainstream/

Man Made or Just Another Weather Cycle?
redstateeclectic.typepad.com
Someone really needs to call Al Gore about this–and maybe the Nobel Peace Prize selection committee. From The Australian :

Inconventient
buttle.wordpress.com
facts . “That’s right. The satellite was only launched in 2002 and it enabled the collection of data, not just on temperature but also on cloud formation and water vapour. What all the climate models suggest is that, when you’ve got warming from additional carbon dioxide, this will result in increased water vapour, so you’re going to get a positive feedback. That’s what the models have been indicating. What this great data from the NASA Aqua satellite … (is) actually showing is just the opposite, that with a little bit of warming, weather processes are compensating, so they’re actually limiting the greenhouse effect and you’re getting a negative rather than a positive feedback.

Saturday, March 22, 2008
Who is Jennifer Marohasy?
This is a link to a broadcast from ABC Radio National of Australia regarding the recent global warming summit ignored by the media:
http://www.abc.net.au/rn/counterpoint/stories/2008/2191714.htmThis above link will direct you to either a real audio or windows media player, her segment begins at the 27:39 mark and continues to the 40:43 mark.
In summary, the earth has cooled in the last 10 years…interesting that CO2 has increased in this time.
Here is the print article link:
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,23411799-7583,00.html
http://handsacrosstheglacier.blogspot.com/2008/03/who-is-jennifer-marohasy.html

… and please add some more links to blog posts as you find them, in the comments section below.

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: Climate & Climate Change

Global Warming for Dummies (Part 2)

March 17, 2008 By jennifer

A little book ‘Rough Guide to Weather’ by Robert Henson states that:

1. The most prevalent greenhouse gas is water vapour
2. As temperatures rise, the oceans warm up and release extra water vapour
3. This water vapour then absorbs energy and radiates some of it to the ground, thus helping global temperatures to rise even more

So the idea is that the warming effects of carbon dioxide will be amplified by increasing water vapour.

But this is NOT what the latest data from the latest satellite shows.

Data from NASA’s Aqua Satellite, which was only launched in 2002, shows that water vapour and high altitude cloud cover don’t necessarily increase when there is warming. Rather weather processes limit the total greenhouse effect in proportion to available sunlight. This can happen in a variety of ways through the hydrological cycle, for example low level clouds release water vapour from the atmosphere when it rains.

The new data from the Aqua Satellite was probably the most important issue discussed at the recent ‘2008 International Conference on Climate Change’. The new findings were part of a presentation by Roy Spencer who leads the team analysing all the data from NASA’s Aqua Satellite.

I have previously mentioned these findings in a blog post and a recent article in OLO but the importance of the finding for climate change science and policy seems to not be understood – or ignored.

These findings are not being disputed by the meteorological community and will require an overhaul of current UN IPCC climate models.

I will talk about this issue this afternoon in an interview with Michael Duffy on ABC Radio National’s Counterpoint at 4pm Sydney time (about 5 hours from now). Those in other parts of the world can listen through the internet – find out how at the Counterpoint link here.

——————
My first blog post on ‘global warming for dummies’ was posted some time ago and was also about the temperature record:

October 26, 2005
Global Warming for Dummies
https://jennifermarohasy.com.dev.internet-thinking.com.au/blog/archives/000959.html

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: Climate & Climate Change

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Jennifer Marohasy Jennifer Marohasy BSc PhD has worked in industry and government. She is currently researching a novel technique for long-range weather forecasting funded by the B. Macfie Family Foundation. Read more

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