Up until now, most projections have been at a sub-continental level – giving information at a regional level in squares of 300km on a side. Defra’s projections are among the first in the world to give information at a local level – to the scale of large cities of 25km square and, in some cases, projecting weather patterns to a village scale of 5km square. Read more here.
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About Me
Jennifer Marohasy BSc PhD has worked in industry and government. She is currently researching a novel technique for long-range weather forecasting funded by the B. Macfie Family Foundation.
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I posted this on Jen’s “Scientific Theory” blog but it applies just as much here.
The winter solstice has just occurred and with it [ in Australia and possibly world wide] some of the highest tides of the year. I always use these periods to try and see for myself some evidence of real sea level rise against infrastructure I have been familliar with for the last 46 years.
Once again I see no measurable evidence and yesterday I was talking to an engineer in the Gold Coast City Council [a Venice – like city of extensive canals and waterways as well as huge Pacific Ocean frontage and one of the most potentially vulnerable places in Australia to current AGW prophesies of doom] who has been overseeing this potential problem following the ‘74 floods.
He says he is also not noticing any change in the sea levels and their MSL [mean sea level] data point has not changed.
It seems that AGW is still only a doubtful hypothesis.
Surely govt planners must operate on BAU while empirical evidence is telling them that these computer predictions are just not happening.
Jen,
Did you watch Kerry’s 7.30 report just now on the Byron Bay Council’s do-nothing-but-accept-it-and-retreat-before-it approach to perceived “climate change”?
Whereas the Gold Coast City Council 40 years ago built a rock wall the length of the city’s ocean front rate base and then pumped up and by-passed sand onto these rocks and stabilised dunes on this sand, Byron took out an injunction at ratepayers expense against an oceanfront landowner who was perpared to do this sort of work at his own expense claiming that this recent mild tidal, wave and storm erosion was the work of climate change and inferred that council was powerless to stop it.
I don’t give this council much hope at the next elections.