THE accurate weather forecast of James Stagg back in June 1944 is considered crucial to the successful D-day invasion that changed the course of WWII.
Should we find ourselves at war again, is there an institution or individual capable of providing an accurate short or long-term weather forecast?
Dr John Abbot and I are working towards better medium-term rainfall forecasts, as explained in the highlights to our latest research paper:
1.Monthly rainfall forecasts for agricultural areas in Queensland and Western Australia,
2. Forecasts more skilful than produced by Australian Bureau of Meterology using General Circulation Models, and
3. Potential to provide better warnings of extreme flooding events with long lead times.
This paper is provided free by scientific publishers Elsevier for a limited period (50 days) at: https://authors.elsevier.com/a
Jennifer Marohasy BSc PhD has worked in industry and government. She is currently researching a novel technique for long-range weather forecasting funded by the B. Macfie Family Foundation.