Records may tumble over the next few days with temperatures in both Melbourne and Adelaide soaring. The record for Adelaide is 46. degrees C (114.98 degrees F), set 70 years ago. Yesterday it topped 45.5 degrees C (113.9 degrees F).
Archives for January 2009
No Scientific Forecasts to Support Global Warming
YESTERDAY, a former chief at NASA, Dr John S. Theon, slammed the computer models used to determine future climate claiming they are not scientific in part because the modellers have “resisted making their work transparent so that it can be replicated independently by other scientists”. [1]
Today, a founder of the International Journal of Forecasting, Journal of Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, and International Symposium on Forecasting, and the author of Long-range Forecasting (1978, 1985), the Principles of Forecasting Handbook, and over 70 papers on forecasting, Dr J. Scott Armstrong, tabled a statement declaring that the forecasting process used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) lacks a scientific basis. [2]
What these two authorities, Drs Theon and Armstrong, are independently and explicitly stating is that the computer models underpinning the work of many scientific institutions concerned with global warming, including Australia’s CSIRO, are fundamentally flawed.
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Pesticide Ban to ‘Wipe Out’ Carrot Crop
DESPITE intense opposition from farmer groups and scientists, the European Parliament voted last week to approve new regulations that could ultimately outlaw up to one-quarter of the pesticides on the European market. Read more here. [Subscription only.]
Iron Sulphate to be Dumped in Southern Ocean
GERMANY gave the green light on Monday to a controversial plan with India to drop six tons of iron dust into the Antarctic Ocean. The experiment is the biggest trial ever of iron fertilization, a technology which could stop global warming at very little cost. Read more here. I have previously suggested that your concept of nature is almost certainly going to influence whether you support the idea. Read more here.
Former NASA Boss Declares Himself a Sceptic and Slams Climate Models
IT used to be common for global warming activists to claim that anyone who disagrees with them must be in the pay of “big oil” – remember Al Gore said this in his documentary ‘An Inconvenient Truth’. More recently the accusation has been that anyone who disagrees with them doesn’t understand the science and therefore does not have an informed opinion.
Marc Morano, the communications director for the Republicans on the U.S. Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works, has made collecting and collating the names of dissenting scientists something of an obsession. Last December he launched an updated report in Washington claiming, “Over 650 dissenting scientists from around the globe challenged man-made global warming claims made by the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and former Vice President Al Gore.”
Yesterday Mr Morano added a particularly high profile scientist to this growing list, Dr John S. Theon. [1]
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Editor Removes Comment by Climate Sceptic (Part 2)
AUSTRALIA’s national broadcaster, the ABC, has a science unit dominated by a fellow called Robyn Williams. Mr Williams is an advocate for the campaign against global warming and has even suggested on air that sea levels could rise by 100 metres in the next century; the United Nation’s IPCC suggested at worst just 59cms. [1] Mr Williams is also on the public record indicating something verging on contempt for meteorologist and climate change sceptic Bill Kininmonth.[2]
It may be difficult for those journalists at the ABC who want to ensure the alternative perspective is put on contentious and highly politicised scientific issues like climate change, particularly given Mr Williams standing and very definite opinions.
On January 22, 2009, ABC reporter Nick Lucchinelli interviewed Bill Kininmonth for an alternative perspective on an article in ‘Nature’ suggesting Antarctica is warming. Lead author Eric Steig and biologist Barry Brook were also interviewed. That part of the interview with Mr Kininmonth was subsequently expunged from the transcript and podcast. [3] That is, at some point after the broadcast the comment from Mr Kininmonth was edited out of the interview. At first blush this has all the signs of ABC censorship in favour of the bias of the science unit.
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Jennifer Marohasy BSc PhD has worked in industry and government. She is currently researching a novel technique for long-range weather forecasting funded by the B. Macfie Family Foundation.
