Jennifer Marohasy

a forum for the discussion of issues concerning the natural environment

Archives for January 28, 2009

No Scientific Forecasts to Support Global Warming

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YESTERDAY, a former chief at NASA, Dr John S. Theon, slammed the computer models used to determine future climate claiming they are not scientific in part because the modellers have “resisted making their work transparent so that it can be replicated independently by other scientists”. [1]

Today, a founder of the International Journal of Forecasting, Journal of Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, and International Symposium on Forecasting, and the author of Long-range Forecasting (1978, 1985), the Principles of Forecasting Handbook, and over 70 papers on forecasting, Dr J. Scott Armstrong, tabled a statement declaring that the forecasting process used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) lacks a scientific basis. [2]

What these two authorities, Drs Theon and Armstrong, are independently and explicitly stating is that the computer models underpinning the work of many scientific institutions concerned with global warming, including Australia’s CSIRO, are fundamentally flawed. 

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Iron Sulphate to be Dumped in Southern Ocean

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GERMANY gave the green light on Monday to a controversial plan with India to drop six tons of iron dust into the Antarctic Ocean. The experiment is the biggest trial ever of iron fertilization, a technology which could stop global warming at very little cost.  Read more here.   I have previously suggested that your concept of nature is almost certainly going to influence whether you support the idea.  Read more here.

Former NASA Boss Declares Himself a Sceptic and Slams Climate Models

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IT used to be common for global warming activists to claim that anyone who disagrees with them must be in the pay of “big oil” – remember Al Gore said this in his documentary ‘An Inconvenient Truth’.   More recently the accusation has been that anyone who disagrees with them doesn’t understand the science and therefore does not have an informed opinion.

Marc Morano, the communications director for the Republicans on the U.S. Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works, has made collecting and collating the names of dissenting scientists something of an obsession.  Last December he launched an updated report in Washington claiming, “Over 650 dissenting scientists from around the globe challenged man-made global warming claims made by the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and former Vice President Al Gore.”

Yesterday Mr Morano added a particularly high profile scientist to this growing list, Dr John S. Theon. [1] 

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