The latest much discussed paper in science journal Nature on global warming is predicting it may get cooler as it gets warmer!
At least that’s my reading of the paper by Harry Bryden et. al. (Vol 438, Dec 1, 2005, pg 655-657) which explains that because of substantially warmer waters at depth near the Bahamas and extending eastward for several hundred kilometres there is likely to be less warm water circulating north to Europe and so winters will be colder. Based on these findings the BBC is suggesting European government should perhaps prepare for colder weather, click here.
I am wondering whether there shouldn’t already be signs of cooling given that according to Harry Bryden et.al. the phenomena is not new with “the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation having slowed by about 30 percent between 1957 and 2004”.
If you are confused, don’t feel alone. I remember being totally confused by the advice from the handsome Jack Hall (played by Dennis Quaid) in last year’s must see Hollywood movie The Day After Tomorrow.
I’ve just re-read a review of the movie:
A climatologist tries to figure out a way to save the world from abrupt global warming. He must get to his young son in New York, which is being taken over by a new ice age.
Crazy stuff!
And today campaigners protested against global warming with ABC Online reporting that:
Thousands of people across Australia are [today] taking part in protests calling on the Federal Government to ratify the Kyoto protocol.
The ‘Walk Against Warming’ is part of an international day of action in 40 countries coinciding with the United Nations climate change talks in Montreal.
Walks are being held in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Adelaide, Perth and Canberra.
… “Our scientists are telling us that Victoria’s going to have more drought, less rainfall, more extreme weather and it’s really going to affect our water stores,” Ms Phelan said.
“It’s looking like we’re going to have up to 20 per cent less water by 2050.” end of quote from ABC online
But perhaps the banners should have red “Walk Against Cooling”.
I have previously written that the biggest lie from the global warming alarmists is that it is going to get drier as it gets warmer, click here. The most likely scenario is that there will be more rain and more snow as it gets warmer because warm air hold more moisture.
But maybe it will get drier because it is going to get cooler?
One thing is for sure, the earth’s climate is going to get warmer or cooler. The earth’s climate has always changed – climate change is for sure.
So maybe it is OK for the experts to flip-flop between warming and cooling scenarios? As long as noone suggests we can stop climate change!
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For more indepth discussion of the new Harry Bryden et. al. paper, there are other blogs, click here and other blogs, click here and here.

Jennifer Marohasy BSc PhD has worked in industry and government. She is currently researching a novel technique for long-range weather forecasting funded by the B. Macfie Family Foundation.